Home Win
Sport Recife 2 - 0 Ceara
Who will win?
1
Sport Recife
x
Draw
2
Ceara
On 15th October 2025, Sport Recife will host Ceara at the Estádio Ilha do Retiro in a crucial Brazil Serie A clash, with kick-off scheduled for 00:00 GMT. Using Football Park’s advanced algorithm, which analyses over 200 data points—including recent form, historical head-to-head, player availability, and tactical matchups—we have identified key outcomes and betting opportunities for this fixture. According to our model, Sport Recife hold a 46.7% chance of victory, while Ceara are underdogs with a 13.3% probability to win. The prediction also suggests a 2-0 scoreline in favour of the home side, reflecting their consistent performance in recent meetings against Ceara.
Football Park’s data-driven insights are designed to give bettors actionable guidance, highlighting markets with high statistical probability while factoring in historical trends and tactical dynamics. This match is projected to be competitive but controlled, with Sport Recife expected to leverage home advantage effectively.
Historical encounters highlight Sport Recife’s strong record against Ceara, particularly at home:
The data shows that Sport Recife often edge out Ceara in tight contests, while Ceara have occasionally turned the tables, most notably in the 4-0 away win in 2021.
###** Sport Recife vs Ceara Predictions**
Football Park’s model forecasts a match likely dominated by Sport Recife’s home performance:
Home Win Probability: 46.7%
Draw Probability: 40%
Away Win Probability: 13.3%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 50%
Expected Match Goals: 2.0
Expected First Half Goals: 0.73
The algorithm predicts a controlled but productive game, with Sport Recife taking the initiative. There is also a 50% probability for goals at both ends, suggesting that while the home side are favourites, Ceara remain capable of threatening on the counter-attack.
Based on Football Park’s statistical analysis, we identify two top betting markets with strong expected value:
Sport Recife to Win @ 2.40 – Home advantage and historical dominance make this a confident selection, particularly given Sport Recife’s consistent scoring record against Ceara.
Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.44 – The expected two goals and open play style suggest this market offers excellent value, with multiple matches in recent history exceeding this threshold.
These bets combine historical trends and algorithmic projections to give bettors reliable options with high probability outcomes.
Referee: To be confirmed – Brazilian Serie A officials are typically assigned based on experience and recent form.
Broadcast Details:
Brazil: Globo / Premiere
International: Selected regional broadcasters
Stadium: Estádio Ilha do Retiro offers a vibrant home atmosphere and has historically favoured Sport Recife in home fixtures. Its 32,000-seat capacity ensures a commanding environment where set-pieces and counter-attacks can be decisive.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football, offering data-backed insights and professional analysis to optimise betting strategies and enhance decision-making.
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