Home Win
Cherno More Varna 3 - 0 Dobrudzha
Who will win?
1
Cherno More Varna
x
Draw
2
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna welcome Dobrudzha to the Ticha Stadium on Monday, 15 September 2025 (18:30 GMT) in the Bulgaria First League. Football Park’s algorithm strongly favours the hosts with a 66.7% win probability, projecting a convincing 3-0 home victory.
The model suggests Cherno More’s attack will prove decisive, averaging 1.9 expected goals, while Dobrudzha’s chances are limited at just 1.0 expected goals. With the home side dominating recent head-to-head meetings, this looks a prime opportunity to back the Varna outfit with confidence.
Date: 15 September 2025
Kick-Off: 18:30 GMT
Competition: Bulgaria First League
Venue: Ticha Stadium, Varna – A compact, atmospheric ground where Cherno More’s home support provides a strong advantage.
Referee: TBC
Bulgaria: Diema Sport / Nova Sport
Europe & International: Bet365 streaming and selected regional broadcasters
Home Win Probability: 66.7%
Away Win Probability: 20%
Draw Probability: 13.3%
Correct Score Prediction: 3-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 50%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
Cherno More Varna to Win @ 1.48 – Strong 66.7% win probability, backed by a dominant home record.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.08 – With 2.9 expected match goals and high-scoring recent meetings, this offers value.
Cherno More Varna vs Dobrudzha Timeline
13 Jul 2024: Cherno More Varna 2-0 Dobrudzha
11 Feb 2024: Cherno More Varna 5-0 Dobrudzha
18 Nov 2023: Cherno More Varna 4-5 Dobrudzha
04 Feb 2023: Cherno More Varna 4-2 Dobrudzha
14 Jul 2021: Cherno More Varna 3-0 Dobrudzha
Head-to-head history shows Cherno More frequently winning comfortably at home, with multi-goal margins common.
Expected Match Goals: 2.90
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 95%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 65%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 25%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.60 (87% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Cherno More Varna to Win @ 1.48
Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.08
Expect Cherno More to take control early and extend their advantage after half-time. A 3-0 home win fits closely with algorithm projections.
All Football Park predictions are generated using advanced statistical modelling. While data highlights strong value selections, remember that football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly.
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