Charlton vs Portsmouth Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Charlton host Portsmouth at The Valley on 06 December 2025 in a 12:30 GMT Championship kickoff that promises high intensity, attacking phases, and significant implications in the upper tier of the EFL. Using the same model-driven structure as our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield predictions framework, this preview blends Football Park’s advanced statistical modelling with expert editorial insight to create a complete betting guide.

Our key betting tip is Charlton to Win at 2.05, supported by a strong 60 percent home win probability and consistent dominance in recent head-to-head meetings at The Valley. With the algorithm projecting a lively contest featuring 3.00 total goals and a high BTTS rating, our second recommended selection is Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS at 2.50, a market offering excellent value in a match shaped by aggressive attacking profiles.

Charlton vs Portsmouth Timeline & Match Details

The Charlton vs Portsmouth timeline continues a long-standing EFL rivalry built on high-tempo games and dramatic shifts in momentum. Football Park’s algorithm anticipates 1.53 first-half goals, with an 80 percent probability of Over 0.5 First-Half Goals, signalling a match likely to ignite early.

Charlton’s home performances this season have been built on sustained pressure, incisive wide combinations, and consistent chance creation, particularly in the opening 30 minutes. Portsmouth, meanwhile, bring a more controlled approach but have struggled historically at The Valley, especially when faced with Charlton’s aggressive transitional play.

The early patterns of this match will be crucial. With a 53.3 percent chance of Charlton leading at half-time, backed by their strong home momentum, the model strongly favours an opening dominated by the hosts. Portsmouth’s 20 percent probability of a first-half lead shows they remain a threat, but the tactical balance leans heavily towards Charlton’s intensity, pressing structure, and home advantage.

Charlton vs Portsmouth Matches: Previous Meetings Analysis

Reviewing recent Charlton vs Portsmouth matches reveals a clear home-side bias in this fixture, with Charlton repeatedly controlling the decisive moments.

Recent meetings

• 03 Aug 2024: Charlton 2-0 Portsmouth
• 24 Feb 2024: Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth
• 17 Oct 2022: Charlton 3-0 Portsmouth
• 25 Sep 2021: Charlton 2-2 Portsmouth
• 02 Feb 2021: Charlton 1-3 Portsmouth
• 09 Mar 2019: Charlton 2-1 Portsmouth
• 09 Dec 2017: Charlton 0-1 Portsmouth
• 07 Nov 2017: Charlton 0-1 Portsmouth

Charlton’s recent victories—particularly the dominant 3-0 win in 2022 and the efficient 2-0 result in 2024—reflect a trend of upward momentum in this fixture. Portsmouth’s last meaningful success at The Valley dates back several seasons, with their more recent visits defined by difficulty breaking Charlton’s midfield structure and home pressing system.

Football Park’s algorithm weighs these historical trends alongside current performance indicators, rating the hosts as significantly more likely to create high-quality scoring opportunities. The data’s alignment with recent meeting outcomes reinforces the strength of the Charlton win prediction.

Charlton vs Portsmouth Predictions

Football Park’s predictive model projects a high-energy match shaped by aggressive attacking sequences, with Charlton holding a statistically dominant position.

Key prediction indicators:

• Home Win: 60.00 percent
• Draw: 26.70 percent
• Away Win: 13.30 percent
• Both Teams to Score: 63.30 percent
• Expected Match Goals: 3.00
• Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 85.00 percent
• Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65.00 percent
• Over 0.5 First-Half Goals Probability: 80.00 percent

The projected correct score is 2-1, reflecting Charlton’s ability to outscore opponents while still conceding chances. Portsmouth’s attacking structure generates enough value to support the BTTS projection, but the model strongly favours Charlton’s superior goal production, pressing power, and tactical synergy at home.

This profile aligns with Football Park’s “favourable home advantage” category—fixtures where the home side carries both statistical superiority and historical reinforcement, making market value easier to identify.

Best Charlton vs Portsmouth Betting Tips

Football Park recommends only the top two percentage-backed plays for this matchup.

Football Park’s Best Bet: Charlton to Win @ 2.05

With a 60 percent winning probability, this is the strongest statistical option in the market. The hosts’ pressing superiority, attacking output, and favourable home history against Portsmouth make this a standout value pick. The 2.05 price offers an excellent return for a fixture where both historical and current data converge in Charlton’s favour.

Second Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.50

Backed by the match’s 3.00 goal projection and a BTTS probability of 63.3 percent, this combined market provides high-value exposure to what is expected to be an open, lively contest. Charlton’s aggressive home approach, paired with Portsmouth’s counter-attacking capabilities, makes this one of the most data-aligned bets of the Championship weekend.

For deeper Championship analysis, readers can explore Football Park’s extensive library of EFL predictions and strategic betting guides.

Charlton vs Portsmouth Match Facts

• Referee: An experienced Championship referee takes charge, known for firm but controlled match management—key traits for a fixture expected to feature intense midfield battles and rapid transitions.
• Broadcast Information: EFL broadcasting arrangements cover domestic and international streaming platforms, with full-match coverage and extended highlights available across multiple digital outlets.
• Stadium: The Valley provides one of the Championship’s most atmospheric settings, amplifying Charlton’s early-pressure approach and often contributing to high-intensity home performances.

Call to Action

For more data-led Championship previews, advanced betting models, and value-focused predictions, visit Football Park’s dedicated match hub. Our system analyses over 200 data points per fixture, giving bettors a reliable edge across EFL and European markets.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.