BTTS Yes
Stoke City 1 - 2 Birmingham City
Who will win?
1
Stoke City
x
Draw
2
Birmingham City
Stoke City host mid-table side Birmingham City on Saturday afternoon, in match week five of the EFL Championship season. Our advanced algorithm are predicting both teams to score in an away win.
Stoke: Johansson, Tchamadeu, Wllmot, Lawal, Cresswell, Baker, Seko, Jun-Ho, Manhoef, Thomas, Mubama
Birmingham: Allsop, Osayi-Samuel, Neumann, Klarer, Laird, Willumsson, Iwata, Seung-Ho, Gray, Koumas, Furuhashi
Striker Jay Stansfield is likely to miss this one due to an ankle injury sufferred prior to the previous game against Leicester, whilst Demarai Gray should be fine to play after some shoulder discomfort, manager Chris Davies has revealed.
Stoke City Last Five:
Stoke 0-1 West Brom
Stoke 0-3 Bradford (EFL Cup)
Southampton 1-2 Stoke
Sheff Wed 0-3 Stoke
Stoke 0-0 Walsall (4-3 pens) (EFL Cup)
Birmingham Last Five:
Leicester 2-0 Birmingham
Birmingham 0-1 Port Vale (EFL Cup)
Birmingham 1-0 Oxford
Blackburn 1-2 Birmingham
Birmingham 2-1 Sheff United (EFL Cup)
20 Jan 2024 // Stoke City 1-2 Birmingham
05 Nov 2022 // Stoke City 1-2 Birmingham
19 Feb 2022 // Stoke City 2-2 Birmingham
04 Oct 2020 // Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham
12 Jul 2020 // Stoke City 2-0 Birmingham
20 Oct 2018 // Stoke City 0-1 Birmingham
Historical records gives Birmingham the edge in this one, having beating The Potters at the Bet365 Stadium three times out of six, whereas Stoke have only been victorious once. Having said that, the sides have only met once in this fixture in recent times, given that the second most recent clash came almost three years ago.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 43% confidence in both teams to score, plus a 46.70% chance that Birmingham take victory. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park's Best Bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 - our team of betting in-house tipsters have predicted both teams to score in this fixture, with the combined goal scoring form plus head-to-head history justifying this selection.
Alternative Bet: Away win @ 2.30 - tipping Birmingham to get back to winning ways following the recent loss to Leicester
Million Manhoef (Stoke) The 23-year-old winger has two goals in four games this season and two big chances created, leading to him being in one of the Championship Team of the Week's.
Ben Wilmot (Stoke) The centre-back has been key in securing Stoke their first clean sheet of the season and with 4.5 clearances per match, an average of 4.8 ball recoveries plus no errors leading to a goal or a shot, the defender could be crucial in stopping Birmingham scoring.
Demarai Gray (Birmingham) The former Leicester man has an assist so far but is yet to score, meaning he will be hungry to change that on Saturday. Gray has three big chances created, making him one of the biggest creative outlets in the team.
Christoph Klarer (Birmingham) is a tough centre-back with an 80% passing accuracy, meaning he can play out from the back whilst his 67% aerial duel win rate and average of eight clearances per match shows he comes out on top in the majority of his personal battles.
13 September 2025, KO 15:00 GMT
TV Broadcast: No broadcaster, match takes place under UK blackout rules
Stadium: Bet365 Stadium was built in 1997 and was opened by the legendary Sir Stanley Matthews, with a capacity of just over 30,000.
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