Rochdale
VS
Swindon Town

Rochdale vs Swindon Town: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

English League Two • 03.10.2026 - 15:00

ROCHDALE VS SWINDON TOWN PREDICTIONS, LINEUPS & BETTING TIPS

Rochdale vs Swindon Town: A Highly Contested Match at Spotland

Rochdale is set to host Swindon Town at Spotland in a League Two fixture that promises to be an intense encounter. Given the history between these two sides, recent form and bookmaker odds suggest a closely contested match.

Looking back at their head-to-head record, it is clear that both teams have had their share of victories and draws. The most recent meeting in March 2023 saw the teams play out an extraordinary 4-4 draw. Previous to that, a strong showing from Swindon Town in August 2022 resulted in a resounding 3-0 win for the visitors. However it is worth noting that Rochdale has also shown they can take points from Swindon Town, particularly in their meetings at Spotland where they have managed to keep clean sheets and secure draws.

The narrative coming into this fixture is one of contrasting fortunes. Rochdale appears to hold a slight edge based on current projections and advice from tipsters. Swindon Town however will be looking to spoil the party and take points back to Wiltshire. Given their form and historical outcomes between them it would be unwise to write off either side in this encounter.

In terms of what to expect come kick-off time on Saturday at 15:00 BST the advice seems to lean towards a home win or possibly a draw. This is informed by not just recent head-to-head outcomes but the general direction of both teams in League Two. With Spotland poised to be an unforgiving host it will be intriguing to see how Swindon Town approach the match. Will they set out to frustrate Rochdale or change their tact to sneak an unexpected win remains to be seen.

Ultimately this match holds the promise of being a gripping contest between two sides with a history that speaks to their competitive balance. The stage is set for an intriguing showdown as October 3 approaches and fans from both sides eagerly await the outcome at Spotland.

ROCHDALE VS SWINDON TOWN PREDICTIONS

Rochdale Win 44%
Draw 27%
Swindon Town Win 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS Yes 60%
Most Likely Result Rochdale win
Most Likely Scoreline 1-1

The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, but across every possible scoreline a rochdale win is the more likely outcome.

ROCHDALE VS SWINDON TOWN HEAD TO HEAD

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Mar 2023 Rochdale 4 - 4 Swindon Town
20 Aug 2022 Swindon Town 3 - 0 Rochdale
02 Apr 2022 Rochdale 0 - 0 Swindon Town
16 Oct 2021 Swindon Town 2 - 2 Rochdale
13 Apr 2021 Rochdale 2 - 1 Swindon Town
12 Sep 2020 Swindon Town 3 - 1 Rochdale
19 Nov 2016 Rochdale 4 - 0 Swindon Town
18 Oct 2016 Swindon Town 3 - 0 Rochdale
30 Apr 2016 Rochdale 2 - 2 Swindon Town
12 Dec 2015 Swindon Town 2 - 1 Rochdale

RECENT FORM

Rochdale
D W L W L
Swindon Town
L L L D L

Rochdale Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
06 Oct Huddersfield 5 - 0 Rochdale
26 Sep Fleetwood Town 1 - 2 Rochdale
22 Sep Rochdale 3 - 3 Liverpool U21
19 Sep Rochdale 2 - 0 Oldham
12 Sep Walsall 0 - 0 Rochdale

Swindon Town Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
26 Sep Swindon Town 1 - 1 Accrington ST
22 Sep Swindon Town 0 - 2 Newport County
19 Sep Salford City 1 - 0 Swindon Town
15 Sep Swindon Town 1 - 2 Crystal Palace U21
12 Sep York 4 - 0 Swindon Town

LEAGUE TWO STANDINGS

#TeamPWDLGDPts
11 Rochdale 94 14 -113
13 Swindon Town 93 24 -411

BEST ROCHDALE VS SWINDON TOWN BETTING TIPS

1
Football Park Best Bet 1 Home or Draw (1X)
Odds 1.40 71% chance
If you staked you would get back £14.00
2
Football Park Best Bet 2 BTTS Yes
Odds 1.57 64% chance
If you staked you would get back £15.70
3
Football Park Best Bet 3 Over 2.5 Goals
Odds 1.62 62% chance
If you staked you would get back £16.20

Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.

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MATCH RESULT PREDICTIONS

Rochdale Win
44%
Draw
27%
Swindon Town Win
29%
Correct Score
1-1

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
BTTS Yes
60%

FIRST HALF PREDICTIONS

Rochdale Win
33%
Draw
42%
Swindon Town Win
24%
Over 0.5 FH Goals
71%
Over 1.5 FH Goals
38%

Projected cards and corners

Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.

Corners

Match total we project 8.4

Line Over Under
7.5 57%– 43%–
8.5 45%– 55%–
9.5 35%1.80 65%1.91

Rochdale we project 3.4

Line Over Under
3.5 42%– 58%–
4.5 28%– 72%–
5.5 18%2.00 82%1.73

Swindon Town we project 5.0

Line Over Under
3.5 65%– 35%–
4.5 51%2.20 49%1.62
5.5 38%– 62%–

Cards

Match total we project 3.5

Line Over Under
2.5 69%– 31%–
3.5 47%– 53%–
4.5 28%– 72%–

Rochdale we project 1.7

Line Over Under
0.5 81%– 19%–
1.5 50%– 50%–
2.5 24%– 77%–

Swindon Town we project 1.9

Line Over Under
0.5 85%– 15%–
1.5 56%– 44%–
2.5 29%– 71%–

A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.