Emirates FA Cup


Home Win
South Shields 3 - 0 Shrewsbury
Who will win?
1

South Shields
x
Draw
2

Shrewsbury
Match Date: Sunday, 2 November 2025 | Kick-off: 12:00 GMT | Competition: England FA Cup
Non-league South Shields host League One side Shrewsbury Town in what could be one of the standout ties of this FA Cup round. Football Park’s predictive model rates South Shields as 70% favourites to win, compared to just 10% for Shrewsbury and 20% for a draw, suggesting a strong home advantage despite the difference in league status.
The model projects 3.1 expected match goals, with South Shields’ attacking tempo and home form expected to test a Shrewsbury side that has struggled to find consistency in front of goal this season.
Powered by advanced performance data and match simulations, the Football Park algorithm forecasts the following outcomes:
Home Win Probability: 70.00%
Away Win Probability: 10.00%
Draw Probability: 20.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 52.00%
Expected Match Goals: 3.10
The algorithm’s most likely scenario is a 3-0 home victory, reflecting South Shields’ attacking momentum and Shrewsbury’s defensive instability away from home.
South Shields to Win @ 2.80
South Shields’ form entering this cup tie makes them a strong value pick. With a 70% win probability, the odds of 2.80 carry notable value against a Shrewsbury team that has struggled in away fixtures and failed to score in three of their last four FA Cup away matches.
Recommended Bet: South Shields to Win @ 2.80
Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.91
The Football Park model projects 3.1 total expected goals, with 73.3% of simulations surpassing the 2.5-goal threshold. South Shields’ free-flowing attack and tendency to score early suggest this fixture could deliver multiple goals.
Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.91
This will be the first competitive meeting between South Shields and Shrewsbury, adding an element of unpredictability to the contest. However, South Shields’ home advantage and scoring form provide a statistical edge heading into the matchup.
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 93.3% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 93.3% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 73.3% probability
Over 3.5 Match Goals: 53.3% probability
Both Teams to Score: 52.0% probability
Predicted Match Goals: 3.10
The statistical outlook points toward a high-tempo game with multiple scoring chances, particularly in the first half where 1.4 expected goals are projected.
Expect an open FA Cup tie where South Shields’ attacking play and confidence at home could overwhelm Shrewsbury’s defensive setup. The visitors’ recent form suggests they may struggle to cope with the hosts’ energy and finishing efficiency. Predicted Outcome: South Shields 3-0 Shrewsbury
Most Valuable Markets: South Shields to Win @ 2.80 | Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.91
All Football Park predictions are based on data-driven models and historical trends — not certainties. Always gamble responsibly, avoid chasing losses, and set limits to maintain control. For professional guidance, visit BeGambleAware.org or your local responsible gambling service.
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