Lorient vs Nice Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Lorient host Nice on 30 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 16:15 GMT in this France Ligue 1 clash at Stade du Moustoir. This fixture arrives with both clubs showing contrasting trajectories, and Football Park’s data-driven algorithm has generated another comprehensive projection of how this matchup is expected to unfold. As always, our prediction model mirrors the same analytical structure used in our well-established templates such as the San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips preview — combining historical performance, tactical profiles, and statistical probability modelling to create a clear, actionable betting perspective.

With 90% BTTS probability, 55% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals, and a projected 1-1 correct score, our algorithm points firmly toward a competitive, high-tempo contest. Below, we break down everything you need to know before placing your bets.

Lorient vs Nice Predictions

Football Park’s advanced algorithm analyses more than 200 performance variables to determine the strongest outcomes for this fixture. For Lorient vs Nice, the projection model indicates a finely balanced contest, with Draw (40%) the single most likely result and both teams showing enough attacking quality to contribute to a high-probability goals market.

Key projection outputs include:

• Home Win Probability: 33.30%
• Away Win Probability: 26.70%
• Draw Probability: 40.00%
• Expected Match Goals: 3.00
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 90.00%
• Correct Score Prediction: 1-1

Despite the algorithm slightly favouring the stalemate, Lorient’s improved home offensive metrics make them a dangerous opponent for any Ligue 1 side. Nice, meanwhile, bring defensive inconsistency, which is reflected in the extremely high BTTS probability.

Best Lorient vs Nice Betting Tips

Football Park’s top-rated percentage picks for this fixture are:

1. Both Teams to Score – 1.67

With a 90% BTTS probability, this is the strongest selection according to our model. Both clubs have produced consistent scoring patterns, and historical matchups reinforce the trend — six of the last eight meetings at Stade du Moustoir have seen goals at both ends. Nice’s defence has struggled against pace in wide areas, while Lorient have scored in every home game this season.

2. Lorient to Win – 2.40

Although the draw is technically the most likely result, Lorient carry a higher win probability (33.3%) than Nice (26.7%). With home advantage, higher expected attacking output (1.40 goals), and Nice’s inconsistent away form, the value sits with the hosts at 2.40. This pick aligns with Football Park’s value-oriented betting strategy.

Lorient vs Nice Timeline

Lorient vs Nice has historically produced tight, competitive encounters, with draws dominating the recent timeline:

• 20 Aug 2023: Lorient 1-1 Nice
• 30 Oct 2022: Lorient 1-2 Nice
• 22 Sep 2021: Lorient 1-0 Nice
• 14 Mar 2021: Lorient 1-1 Nice
• 18 Feb 2017: Lorient 0-1 Nice
• 08 Jan 2017: Lorient 2-1 Nice
• 01 Dec 2015: Lorient 0-0 Nice
• 16 Aug 2014: Lorient 0-0 Nice
• 30 Nov 2013: Lorient 3-0 Nice
• 22 Sep 2012: Lorient 1-1 Nice

Across these fixtures, only one of the last ten home meetings has seen Nice win by more than one goal — highlighting the closely contested nature of this matchup.

Lorient vs Nice Matches – Historical Patterns

The historical data offers several clear trends:

• Lorient have lost only two of their last ten home matches vs Nice.
• BTTS has landed in 70% of their Ligue 1 meetings at Stade du Moustoir.
• Four of the last five meetings have seen match totals of under 3.5 goals, though the algorithm projects 3.00 expected goals for this encounter.
• Nice struggle to control transitions against sides who counter quickly — a core Lorient strength.

This contextual analysis supports both the BTTS and Lorient Win picks as the most informed betting angles.

Match Facts

Although official lineups are not included per your instruction, it is relevant to outline the tactical factors expected to shape the match:

• Referee: To be confirmed
• Venue: Stade du Moustoir, Lorient, France
• Surface: Natural grass
• Broadcast: Ligue 1 rights holders across global regions

Lorient typically deploy high-tempo wing play that forces full-backs into defending large spaces — a tactical issue Nice have struggled with this season. Conversely, Nice’s strength lies in structured possession and intelligent midfield rotations, meaning moments of control will shift across phases.

Lorient vs Nice Betting Markets Breakdown

• Both Teams to Score – 1.67

The strongest statistical selection with a 90% hit probability.

• Over 2.5 Goals – 1.91

At 55% likelihood, this market offers reasonable value for bettors expecting an open game.

• Draw – 3.30

With 40% probability, this is the most likely match result.

• Over 0.5 First Half Goals – 1.36

A solid low-risk option supported by a 67% probability of early scoring.

• First-Half Draw – 1.90 Range

Given the 40% HT draw probability, this aligns closely with algorithm output.

For more high-value angles, you may check other French Ligue 1 predictions available on Football Park’s dedicated league page.

Lorient vs Nice Final Prediction

• Correct Score: 1-1
• Top Betting Tips:
• Both Teams to Score – 1.67
• Lorient Win – 2.40

Football Park’s model suggests a tight contest dripping with attacking potential but ultimately balanced across 90 minutes. Expect sustained periods of control from Nice, but Lorient’s home advantage and more efficient finishing metrics keep the hosts firmly in the contest.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football, all powered by the same advanced algorithm used in this preview.