Toulouse vs Le Havre Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Toulouse vs Le Havre Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

The France Ligue 1 returns with an intriguing fixture as Toulouse host Le Havre on 2 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 16:15 GMT. Taking place at Toulouse’s home ground, this clash features two sides with contrasting ambitions — Toulouse targeting mid-table stability and Le Havre fighting to find consistency on the road. Using Football Park’s proprietary predictive algorithm, the same data-driven model behind our San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, we’ve analysed over 200 performance variables to generate the most accurate forecasts available.

Our top pick for this matchup is Toulouse to win at 1.70 odds, representing strong value based on current form, home advantage, and historical results. Below, we break down the full Toulouse vs Le Havre predictions, tactical outlook, best betting tips, and the key metrics shaping this Ligue 1 contest.

Match Details

• Competition: France Ligue 1
• Date: 2 November 2025
• Kick-off: 16:15 GMT
• Venue: Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
• Toulouse vs Le Havre Lineups & Tactical Outlook

While confirmed lineups will be announced closer to kick-off, our Toulouse vs Le Havre lineups model projects the home side to take the initiative from the outset. Toulouse’s attacking structure is expected to be front-footed, pressing high and exploiting Le Havre’s defensive gaps, particularly in transition.

Le Havre, who rely on compact defensive organisation and quick counter-attacks, may struggle to contain Toulouse’s fluid attacking rotation. The algorithm anticipates:

• Expected home goals: 2.40
• Expected away goals: 1.30
• Both Teams to Score probability: 55%
• Expected first-half goals: 1.30

The numbers suggest a proactive Toulouse performance with sustained pressure and a clear scoring edge. The first-half draw (50%) likelihood implies Le Havre could resist early on before Toulouse assert dominance in the second period.

Toulouse vs Le Havre Predictions

Football Park’s model assigns the following outcome probabilities for this Ligue 1 clash:

• Home Win (Toulouse): 58.30%
• Draw: 20.00%
• Away Win (Le Havre): 21.70%
• Correct Score Prediction: 3-1 Toulouse
• Expected Match Goals: 3.70
• Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 85.00%
• Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 58.80%
• Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 52.50%

With Toulouse showing a win probability almost triple that of Le Havre, the model strongly supports a home victory scenario. The projected 3-1 scoreline reinforces both Toulouse’s attacking superiority and the potential for a high-scoring encounter.

Toulouse vs Le Havre Matches & Timeline

A look at the Toulouse vs Le Havre timeline reveals recent dominance by the home side:

• 15 Sep 2024: Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre
• 05 Nov 2023: Toulouse 1-2 Le Havre
• 21 Feb 2022: Toulouse 4-0 Le Havre
• 19 Dec 2020: Toulouse 4-3 Le Havre

Historically, Toulouse have thrived in this fixture, especially at home. They’ve scored at least twice in three of their last four meetings and averaged 2.75 goals per game during that stretch. The data supports our algorithm’s forecast of a goal-heavy contest with the hosts on top.

Best Toulouse vs Le Havre Betting Tips

1. Toulouse to Win @ 1.70

Toulouse’s 58.30% win probability comfortably exceeds the 1.70 implied probability (≈ 58.8%), offering marginal but fair value for bettors seeking a confident selection. With recent head-to-head dominance, superior goal output, and home-pitch advantage, this stands as our top Football Park pick.

2. Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.91

With an expected 3.70 total goals and more than 50% chance of surpassing three goals, the Over 2.5 Goals market offers a compelling second option. Toulouse’s high-tempo style and Le Havre’s counter-attacking threat should produce an open contest, reinforcing this selection as one of our best percentage plays.

Betting Scenario & Market Value

Comparing probabilities against available odds reveals strategic value:

• Toulouse Win (1.70): near-perfect alignment between model and market value, signalling fair odds for a confident home bet.
• Over 2.5 Goals (1.91): our algorithm’s 58.8% likelihood translates to an implied value edge versus bookmaker pricing.
• Punters seeking higher-risk angles could consider Toulouse & Over 2.5 Goals, but our conservative stance prioritises single-market accuracy.

Responsible Betting Reminder: Wager responsibly, and set personal limits. Football Park encourages all readers to bet for entertainment and maintain control of their staking.

Why Trust Football Park’s Algorithm

At Football Park, we don’t rely on intuition — we rely on numbers. Our predictive model processes over 200 data points per match, factoring in recent performances, head-to-head form, tactical dynamics, and situational elements such as home/away advantage and fatigue.

This methodology, showcased in our flagship San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield Predictions piece, underpins every recommendation. Each selection is tested against historical accuracy benchmarks and continuously updated using live match data inputs and machine-learning refinement.

Explore our latest data-backed previews and betting insights at Football Park Predictions for transparent, evidence-based analysis.

Toulouse vs Le Havre Predictions – Final Verdict

The upcoming Toulouse vs Le Havre clash is set to favour the home side based on every available metric. Toulouse’s superior attacking record, tactical cohesion, and head-to-head advantage combine to make them strong favourites.

Football Park’s Top Two Bets:

Toulouse to Win @ 1.70

Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.91

Predicted Score: Toulouse 3-1 Le Havre Predicted Outcome: Half-Time Draw / Full-Time Home Win

Given Toulouse’s recent form and the data-driven projection of 3.70 total goals, both recommended markets offer solid betting value and align perfectly with our predictive model outputs.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.