Castellón
VS
AD Ceuta FC

Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

La Liga 2 • 04.10.2026 - 17:30

CASTELLóN VS AD CEUTA FC PREDICTIONS, LINEUPS & BETTING TIPS

Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC: A Clash of Form and Fortune

The Estadio Municipal Castalia is set to host a thrilling encounter between Castellón and AD Ceuta FC on Sunday,4 October 2026, at 17:30 BST. This Segunda División match promises to be an intriguing battle, given the recent head-to-head results and current form of both teams.

Castellón appears to be the favored side, considering their overall performance and home advantage. Their ability to score goals and concede fewer than the opposition has been a recurring theme, which may influence the outcome of this match. The visitors, AD Ceuta FC, has shown resilience in past meetings between these two sides, but the probability of a victory for them seems low.

The last meeting between Castellón and AD Ceuta FC ended in a draw, but the projected winner for this fixture is Castellón. Considering advice, it seems beneficial to consider a combination of Castellón as the winner and over 1.5 goals, given the balance between home and away goals. Past results indicate a trend towards more goals being scored.

The narrative around this match suggests that while AD Ceuta FC can cause upsets, and has pushed Castellón in previous matches, the home side's current trajectory points towards a positive outcome. Sunday's match is expected to be competitive, and the home crowd may play a part in boosting Castellón's performance.

Given the context of their rivalry and recent displays, it will be interesting to observe how Castellón approaches this match and whether they can capitalize on their home turf against AD Ceuta FC. The away side will aim to defy expectations and claim a surprise win, but based on analysis and trends the likeliest outcome seems to be in favor of Castellón.

CASTELLóN VS AD CEUTA FC PREDICTIONS

Castellón Win 76%
Draw 15%
AD Ceuta FC Win 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
BTTS Yes 56%
Most Likely Result Castellón win
Most Likely Scoreline 2-0

CASTELLóN VS AD CEUTA FC HEAD TO HEAD

DateHomeScoreAway
09 May 2026 AD Ceuta FC 1 - 1 Castellón
14 Sep 2025 Castellón 3 - 3 AD Ceuta FC
11 Feb 2024 Castellón 2 - 2 AD Ceuta FC
15 Oct 2023 AD Ceuta FC 1 - 3 Castellón

RECENT FORM

Castellón
W W D L W
AD Ceuta FC
L L L W L

Castellón Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
28 Sep Leganes 0 - 2 Castellón
19 Sep Castellón 5 - 0 Tenerife
12 Sep Girona 1 - 2 Castellón
06 Sep Castellón 2 - 0 Albacete
31 Aug Celta De Vigo II 1 - 2 Castellón

AD Ceuta FC Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
26 Sep AD Ceuta FC 3 - 1 Real Sociedad II
20 Sep AD Ceuta FC 1 - 1 Valladolid
11 Sep Burgos 3 - 1 AD Ceuta FC
05 Sep AD Ceuta FC 0 - 2 Celta De Vigo II
30 Aug Mallorca 3 - 0 AD Ceuta FC

SEGUNDA DIVISIóN STANDINGS

#TeamPWDLGDPts
2 Castellón 86 20 1220
21 AD Ceuta FC 81 25 -115

BEST CASTELLóN VS AD CEUTA FC BETTING TIPS

1
Football Park Best Bet 1 Home Win
Odds 1.27 79% chance
If you staked you would get back £12.70
2
Football Park Best Bet 2 BTTS Yes
Odds 1.73 58% chance
If you staked you would get back £17.30
3
Football Park Best Bet 3 Over 2.5 Goals
Odds 1.36 74% chance
If you staked you would get back £13.60

Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.

Bet with BOYLE Sports

Set a budget before you start, and stop if it stops being fun. 18+ BeGambleAware.org

MATCH RESULT PREDICTIONS

Castellón Win
76%
Draw
15%
AD Ceuta FC Win
9%
Correct Score
2-0

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS

Over 1.5 Goals
89%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
BTTS Yes
56%

FIRST HALF PREDICTIONS

Castellón Win
56%
Draw
32%
AD Ceuta FC Win
10%
Over 0.5 FH Goals
79%
Over 1.5 FH Goals
49%

Projected cards and corners

Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.

Corners

Match total we project 9.6

Line Over Under
8.5 59%– 41%–
9.5 48%1.80 52%2.00
10.5 37%– 63%–

Castellón we project 5.5

Line Over Under
4.5 58%– 42%–
5.5 45%– 55%–
6.5 33%1.83 67%1.83

AD Ceuta FC we project 4.1

Line Over Under
3.5 52%– 48%–
4.5 38%– 62%–
5.5 26%– 74%–

Cards

Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza

Match total we project 5.2

Line Over Under
4.5 60%1.67 40%2.10
5.5 42%1.83 58%1.83
6.5 27%– 73%–

Castellón we project 2.5

Line Over Under
1.5 72%1.62 28%2.20
2.5 47%– 53%–
3.5 25%– 75%–

AD Ceuta FC we project 2.7

Line Over Under
1.5 75%– 25%–
2.5 50%1.53 50%2.38
3.5 28%– 72%–

A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.