Sporting Gijon
VS
Celta De Vigo II

Sporting Gijon vs Celta De Vigo II: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

La Liga 2 • 04.10.2026 - 15:15

SPORTING GIJON VS CELTA DE VIGO II PREDICTIONS, LINEUPS & BETTING TIPS

Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II Preview

Sunday's Segunda División encounter between Sporting Gijon and Celta de Vigo II at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini is shaping up to be an intriguing matchup. With Sporting Gijon projected as the winner, a low-scoring affair is anticipated, a notion supported by the advice to combine a double chance of either a Sporting Gijon win or a draw and under 3.5 goals.

Recent form suggests that Sporting Gijon has been consistent, a factor that will play in their favor against Celta de Vigo II. The visitors, have struggled to find their footing, a trend that may continue at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.

The win probabilities indicate a dominant home performance, with the draw and away win being less likely outcomes. This lean towards under 3.5 goals further supports the notion of a closely contested match with limited scoring opportunities.

Given these factors, Sporting Gijon appears well-placed to secure a positive result. The stage is set for an intense battle between two sides with differing fortunes, and the home side's momentum may prove too much for Celta de Vigo II to handle.

SPORTING GIJON VS CELTA DE VIGO II PREDICTIONS

Sporting Gijon Win 54%
Draw 26%
Celta De Vigo II Win 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS Yes 51%
Most Likely Result Sporting Gijon win
Most Likely Scoreline 1-1

The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, but across every possible scoreline a sporting gijon win is the more likely outcome.

RECENT FORM

Sporting Gijon
L L W D L
Celta De Vigo II
L W D W D

Sporting Gijon Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
27 Sep Oviedo 2 - 0 Sporting Gijon
19 Sep FC Andorra 1 - 3 Sporting Gijon
13 Sep Sporting Gijon 0 - 1 Eldense
05 Sep Sporting Gijon 0 - 2 Girona
28 Aug Tenerife 0 - 1 Sporting Gijon

Celta De Vigo II Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
26 Sep Celta De Vigo II 1 - 1 Sabadell
20 Sep Almeria 2 - 0 Celta De Vigo II
14 Sep Celta De Vigo II 0 - 4 Eibar
05 Sep AD Ceuta FC 0 - 2 Celta De Vigo II
31 Aug Celta De Vigo II 1 - 2 Castellón

SEGUNDA DIVISIóN STANDINGS

#TeamPWDLGDPts
8 Sporting Gijon 84 13 013
18 Celta de Vigo II 82 24 -48

BEST SPORTING GIJON VS CELTA DE VIGO II BETTING TIPS

1
Football Park Best Bet 1 Home or Draw (1X)
Odds 1.17 85% chance
If you staked you would get back £11.70

Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.

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MATCH RESULT PREDICTIONS

Sporting Gijon Win
54%
Draw
26%
Celta De Vigo II Win
20%
Correct Score
1-1

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
BTTS Yes
51%

FIRST HALF PREDICTIONS

Sporting Gijon Win
38%
Draw
43%
Celta De Vigo II Win
17%
Over 0.5 FH Goals
68%
Over 1.5 FH Goals
33%

Projected cards and corners

Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.

Corners

Match total we project 8.3

Line Over Under
7.5 56%– 44%–
8.5 44%– 56%–
9.5 34%2.00 66%1.73

Sporting Gijon we project 4.5

Line Over Under
3.5 59%– 42%–
4.5 44%– 56%–
5.5 31%1.83 69%1.83

Celta De Vigo II we project 3.8

Line Over Under
3.5 49%2.00 51%1.73
4.5 34%– 66%–
5.5 23%– 77%–

Cards

Referee: German Cid Camacho

Match total we project 5.1

Line Over Under
4.5 58%– 42%–
5.5 40%2.10 60%1.67
6.5 25%– 75%–

Sporting Gijon we project 2.6

Line Over Under
1.5 74%– 27%–
2.5 48%2.20 52%1.62
3.5 27%– 73%–

Celta De Vigo II we project 2.5

Line Over Under
1.5 71%– 29%–
2.5 46%1.57 54%2.25
3.5 24%– 76%–

A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.