Mallorca vs Alaves Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Mallorca vs Alaves Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Mallorca face Alaves in a tightly balanced La Liga clash at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on March 8, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 GMT. Matches between these sides have traditionally been low-scoring and cagey, with neither team giving much away.

Football Park’s advanced algorithm, which analyses over 200 data points, leans slightly towards a Mallorca win but also highlights a strong chance of a draw. With the model projecting just 1.60 total goals, this is expected to be another tense, tactical battle. Our analysts believe bettors should target the goals markets and low-scoring outcomes for the best value.

In this preview, we provide detailed Mallorca vs Alaves predictions, key betting insights, and a timeline of their previous meetings to guide your selections.

Mallorca vs Alaves Previous Meetings

The timeline of Mallorca vs Alaves matches underlines the cagey nature of this rivalry:

• 02 Mar 2025 – Mallorca 1-1 Alaves
• 03 Dec 2023 – Mallorca 0-0 Alaves
• 19 Apr 2022 – Mallorca 2-1 Alaves
• 15 Feb 2020 – Mallorca 1-0 Alaves

Mallorca have gone unbeaten in their last four encounters, keeping two clean sheets and restricting Alaves to just two goals across that period.

Mallorca vs Alaves Predictions

Football Park’s algorithm gives:

Home Win Probability: 43.3%

Draw Probability: 36.7%

Away Win Probability: 20.0%

The model expects just 1.60 total goals, with a projected correct scoreline of 2-0 to Mallorca.

Top Two Football Park Best Bets:

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 – With only a 26.3% chance of going over, and all of the last four meetings finishing under this line, this market offers strong value.

Mallorca to Win @ 2.30 – With a 43.3% probability and home advantage, the hosts are the most likely victors.

The algorithm also suggests a Draw/Home half-time/full-time outcome, reflecting Mallorca’s tendency to edge matches late on.

Best Mallorca vs Alaves Betting Tips

Our tipsters recommend focusing on low-scoring outcomes:

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57: A reliable selection, supported both by historical trends and algorithm probability.

Mallorca to Win @ 2.30: Strong home record against Alaves makes this a valuable outright pick.

For those seeking slightly higher risk, Correct Score 2-0 @ 8.50 could appeal, given it aligns with the algorithm’s projection.

Mallorca vs Alaves Match Facts

Competition: La Liga

Date & Time: March 8, 2026 | 20:00 GMT

Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma

Referee: Appointment TBC

Broadcast: Spain – Movistar+ | International – ESPN+, beIN Sports (selected markets)

Son Moix has been a fortress for Mallorca in recent meetings with Alaves, with the visitors failing to win in Palma since their return to the top flight.

Mallorca vs Alaves Timeline

Looking at the Mallorca vs Alaves matches in recent years:

• Tight Margins: Three of the last four games were settled by a single goal or ended level.
• Low Scoring: All four fixtures stayed under 2.5 goals.
• Mallorca Edge: Two wins and two draws for Mallorca underline their control of this matchup.

This history reinforces Football Park’s model: expect a cagey game, few goals, and a narrow Mallorca edge.

Responsible Betting Note

At Football Park, we encourage responsible gambling. Always stake within your means and enjoy betting as entertainment, not as a guaranteed income.

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