Sevilla vs Real Betis Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

The Seville Derby returns as Sevilla host Real Betis on 30 November 2025 at 15:15 GMT in La Liga, a fixture defined by intensity, drama, and some of the league’s most atmospheric occasions. Taking place at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, this matchup promises another fierce chapter in one of Spain’s great rivalries.

Football Park’s algorithm analyses over 200 metrics to provide high-confidence projections for bettors. With both sides showing unpredictability this season, the numbers point strongly toward goals and a finely balanced derby. Below, we break down the key angles, best bets, match insights, and historical context — all designed to give you an expert, data-backed perspective ahead of this fiery derby clash.

Sevilla vs Real Betis Predictions

Football Park’s predictive model shows this Seville Derby as one of the most evenly matched fixtures of the entire weekend. The algorithm gives Sevilla a 33.30% chance of winning, Real Betis a 26.70% chance, and the draw a commanding 40.00% probability — highlighting how frequently this rivalry ends level. Expected goals output leans slightly towards Betis, but with Sevilla projected to create 1.30 goals of their own, the model anticipates a competitive and open affair.

Both teams to score sits at a high 73.30%, and the expected match goals total of 2.70 further reinforces a high-tempo derby with sustained attacking phases from both sides. Football Park’s correct score projection is 2-2, which would align with the algorithm’s strong leaning toward a draw/draw progression in the Half Time/Full Time market. This matchup showcases how derby-state variables — pressure, intensity, form volatility — all influence the model, making this one of the most unpredictable games on the slate.

For more algorithm-driven La Liga projections, explore our latest Spain football predictions on Football Park.

Best Sevilla vs Real Betis Betting Tips

Below are Football Park’s two top-rated percentage selections based strictly on the data model:

1. Sevilla Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.57

With Sevilla receiving a combined 73.30% probability to avoid defeat, this bet offers strong protection in a derby where momentum swings rapidly. The home-based edge is amplified by Sevilla’s recent success in this fixture, winning or drawing eight of their last ten at the Sánchez-Pizjuán.

2. Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.20

The model’s 73.30% BTTS probability and strong 60.00% outlook on over 2.5 goals makes this a high-value selection. Both teams are expected to contribute heavily, fuelled by derby intensity and the historically attacking nature of this matchup.

These top selections are part of Football Park’s continually updated betting insights. View additional predictions across Europe via our expert match analysis hub.

Sevilla vs Real Betis Matches: Previous Meetings Timeline

The Seville Derby has produced a wide range of outcomes in recent years, though Sevilla have consistently dominated home fixtures. Several narrow wins, low-scoring draws, and one derby goal-fest all highlight the unpredictability that defines this rivalry. Notably, Sevilla have kept Betis scoreless in three of their last five home derbies — though with BTTS rated at over 73% in this edition, the model predicts a shift toward a more open encounter.

Key recent results at the Sánchez-Pizjuán include:

• 06 Oct 2024: Sevilla 1-0 Real Betis
• 12 Nov 2023: Sevilla 1-1 Real Betis
• 03 Aug 2023: Sevilla 1-0 Real Betis
• 21 May 2023: Sevilla 0-0 Real Betis
• 27 Feb 2022: Sevilla 2-1 Real Betis

These fixtures consistently trend toward tight margins, tactical discipline, and decisive late moments.

For additional La Liga rivalry analysis, visit our full library of La Liga match previews.

Sevilla vs Real Betis Lineups Insight

Football Park’s analysis models player availability, tactical structure, and historical lineup tendencies to shape its probability outputs. The algorithm accounts for positional stability, changes in attacking influence, and defensive rotations to deliver accurate outcome probabilities.

To monitor lineup confirmations on matchday, ensure you follow our live updates within the Football Park predictions centre.

Sevilla vs Real Betis Timeline: Match Flow Projection

Football Park’s timeline model anticipates a balanced opening phase, with a projected 46.70% probability of a half-time draw — the most likely scenario. Sevilla are favoured to grow into the game after halftime, supported by their historical pattern of controlling the second half at home in derby fixtures.

A late surge in chances is expected, with both sides projected to create their highest x-threat in the final 20 minutes. While the match has a 40.00% draw probability overall, the algorithm expects this fixture to be decided by moments rather than sustained dominance.

Sevilla vs Real Betis Predictions: Final Verdict

This Seville Derby is statistically one of the closest of recent seasons, with the Football Park algorithm highlighting several compelling betting angles. Sevilla hold a slight data-based edge through double chance probability, while the model also strongly supports a goal-heavy encounter driven by high BTTS rates and projected match tempo.

Football Park Final Picks:

• Sevilla Double Chance (Win or Draw)
• Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score

For more expert insights, see our full slate of La Liga betting tips and advanced match predictions.

Football Park Predictions

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