Ponferradina
VS
Mirandes

Ponferradina vs Mirandes: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 • 04.10.2026 - 15:30

PONFERRADINA VS MIRANDES PREDICTIONS, LINEUPS & BETTING TIPS

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 action on Sunday as Ponferradina go head-to-head with Mirandes. Here's our data-driven breakdown.

Form Check

Ponferradina keep sharing the points: 4 draws in their last 5. Make of that what you will.

It's been up and down for Mirandes: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses recently.

What Does The Model Say?

Really hard to call this one — Ponferradina at 36.90%, Mirandes at 32.40%, and 30.70% for the draw. Proper 50-50 stuff. The predicted scoreline? 1-1.

The Goals Markets

Both Teams to Score sits at 48.80%. Not the strongest lean either way.

Goals markets: Over 1.5 at 69.10%, Over 2.5 at 41.50%, Over 3.5 at 20.90%. Pretty middle-of-the-road stuff.

Our Pick

The standout pick here is Over 1.5 Goals (1.440). Our algorithm rates this at 69.10% confidence.

Current Odds

Here's how the bookies see it — Ponferradina 2.550, Draw 3.000, Mirandes 2.550. BTTS priced at 1.910 Yes / 1.800 No. Over 2.5 Goals is 1.440.


This content was created by our AI prediction system. It's based on real data and proper stats, but football doesn't always follow the script. Bet within your means.

PONFERRADINA VS MIRANDES PREDICTIONS

Ponferradina Win 38%
Draw 30%
Mirandes Win 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS Yes 50%
Most Likely Result Ponferradina win
Most Likely Scoreline 1-1

The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, but across every possible scoreline a ponferradina win is the more likely outcome.

PONFERRADINA VS MIRANDES HEAD TO HEAD

DateHomeScoreAway
26 Mar 2023 Ponferradina 0 - 0 Mirandes
17 Dec 2022 Mirandes 2 - 1 Ponferradina
27 Mar 2022 Mirandes 3 - 1 Ponferradina
05 Dec 2021 Ponferradina 2 - 1 Mirandes
19 Feb 2021 Ponferradina 1 - 0 Mirandes
03 Oct 2020 Mirandes 0 - 1 Ponferradina
21 Jun 2020 Mirandes 1 - 2 Ponferradina
05 Oct 2019 Ponferradina 2 - 0 Mirandes

RECENT FORM

Ponferradina
W D D D D
Mirandes
D W L L W

Ponferradina Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
27 Sep Pontevedra 1 - 1 Ponferradina
19 Sep Ponferradina 1 - 0 Mérida AD
13 Sep Deportivo La Coruña II 2 - 1 Ponferradina
04 Sep Ponferradina 0 - 0 Lugo
29 Aug UD Ourense 0 - 1 Ponferradina

Mirandes Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
27 Sep Mirandes 1 - 0 Unionistas De Salamanca
19 Sep Real Unión 2 - 2 Mirandes
12 Sep Mérida AD 3 - 4 Mirandes
05 Sep Mirandes 2 - 0 UD Ourense
28 Aug Cacereño 1 - 0 Mirandes

PRIMERA DIVISIóN RFEF - GROUP 1 STANDINGS

#TeamPWDLGDPts
5 Ponferradina 63 21 211
6 Mirandes 63 12 210

BEST PONFERRADINA VS MIRANDES BETTING TIPS

1
Football Park Best Bet 1 Home or Draw (1X)
Odds 1.44 69% chance
If you staked you would get back £14.40

Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.

Bet with BOYLE Sports

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MATCH RESULT PREDICTIONS

Ponferradina Win
38%
Draw
30%
Mirandes Win
32%
Correct Score
1-1

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS

Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
BTTS Yes
50%

FIRST HALF PREDICTIONS

Ponferradina Win
28%
Draw
47%
Mirandes Win
24%
Over 0.5 FH Goals
64%
Over 1.5 FH Goals
30%

Projected cards and corners

Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.

Corners

Mirandes we project 4.1

Line Over Under
3.5 52%– 48%–
4.5 38%– 62%–
5.5 26%– 74%–

Cards

Referee: Manuel García

Mirandes we project 2.7

Line Over Under
1.5 74%– 26%–
2.5 49%– 51%–
3.5 28%– 73%–

A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.