Atalanta vs Fiorentina: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

Atalanta vs Fiorentina: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

Match Details: November 30 2025 | New Balance Arena | Serie A - Round 13 | 17:00 GMT

Two teams who should be fighting at the top of the league looking to bounce back meet. Atalanta are looking to push up the table after their poor start sees them sitting in 13th place with a win they would be back in the top half of the table. However, Fiorentina won’t make that easy as they are looking to jump out the relegation zone and 3 points would make that easier for them, they also will be looking for their first win of the season. Our advanced algorithm has predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta in this match.

Key Betting Tip: Atalanta to win this match at 1.73 odds – this represents excellent value based on tips provided by our team of inhouse tipsters.

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineups

Atalanta predicted starting XI (3-4-1-2): Carnesecchi, Djimsiti, Hien, Ahanor, Bellanova, de Roon, Ederson, Zappacosta, Pasalic, De Ketelaere, Lookman

Fiorentina predicted starting XI (3-5-2): de Gea, Ranieri, Mari, Pongracic, Parisi, Sohm, Mandragora, Comuzzo, Kean, Gudmundsson

Previous Atalanta vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head Matches

Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta

Atalanta go into this game with some confidence as they were the team that was able to win with the biggest deficit between the 2 teams. However, they have also been the team that has the majority of the last 5 matches when these 2 have faced each other. So, they will be going into this game with confidence but will need to be careful that they don’t take Fiorentina to easily as they could easily end up losing the game if they do that.

Fiorentina will have a lot of confidence when going into this game as they have managed to win the last 3 out of 5 games. However, they have struggled to stop Atalanta scoring and when they have scored, in 3 out of the 5 they have scored more than 1 goal including 2 games where they scored 3 and 4 and ended up winning. This could cause some confidence to be nocked especially as all the games they scored more than 1 like this game, were at home. This could damage their mental a bit and cause them to be more defensive to that a repeat of these games.

Previous Atalanta vs Fiorentina Match Analysis

Atalanta’s last 5 matches: Udinese 1-0 Atalanta (A) Serie A Marseille 0-1 Atalanta (A) Champions League Atalanta 0-3 Sassuolo (H) Serie A Napoli 3-1 Atalanta (A) Serie A Frankfurt 0-3 Atalanta (A) Champions League

Some interesting run of form for Atalanta failing to win any of the last 3 league games that they have played and conceding 3 in the last 2. However, while their domestic form has been very poor, the intercontinental form in the Champions League has been very impressive winning both of those matches and winning the last game 3-0. This should give them some confidence that they can take some of this UCL form into the league and finally get a win in the league for the first time in 3 matches. The main issue that they have found in the league is stopping goals going in, conceding 7 in 3 league games, they will need to fix this if they want a chance of winning this match.

Fiorentina’s last 5 matches: Fiorentina 0-1 Lecce (H) Serie A Mainz 2-1 Fiorentina (A) Conference League Genoa 2-2 Fiorentina (A) Serie A Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus (H) Serie A Fiorentina 0-1 AEK Athens (H) Conference League

Fiorentina have struggled in their last 5 matches having not picked up a win in any competition. They have struggled at both ends of the pitch conceding in every game in the last 5 and never scoring more than 1 goal in the last 5 matches with 2 games them failing to score in general. Their confidence is going to be very low when going into this game as they haven’t had a result that has been able to get them enough confidence to bounce back from other results. Their best result was the draw against 7th Juventus; however, this doesn’t seem to have helped their confidence.

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Predictions

Our advanced algorithm has analysed over 200 pieces of data and predicted with a 40% confidence that Atalanta will win this match. The key factors that influence this are previous head-to-head matches, current form, players available, and tactical matchups.

Best Atalanta vs Fiorentina Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Atalanta to win this match @ 1.73 odds – our team of in-house tipsters have predicted this based off Atalanta’s superior form in recent matches as well as head-to-head results when they play at home.

Key Players to Watch: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta): The creative midfielder has been one of Atalanta’s lights in the darkness this season with 3 goal contributions. He has been the player who has tried to pull the strings and make something happen. This is shown by the 19 chances created already this season and the 40 accurate long balls. If Atalanta win this match expect him to be the man providing the goals for the forwards to help them towards a win.

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina): The midfielder is the current top scorer in the league this season for Fiorentina. Having scored 3 goals this season he is currently overperforming his xg by 2 and they will hope that he can pop up with another goal from long distance if Fiorentina want to win this game. However, it’s not just his goal scoring, while he hasn’t registered an assist yet this season, he has provided 12 chances and 7 successful crosses this season, if Fiorentina score and their strikers convert expect him to be the man who has made something happen.

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Match Facts

Referee: Matteo Marcenaro Stadium Details: New Balance Arena capacity 24,950, surface grass Broadcast Details: DAZN