Over 2.5
Fiorentina 2 - 2 AS Roma
Who will win?
1
Fiorentina
x
Draw
2
AS Roma
The Stadio Artemio Franchi will play host to one of Serie A’s most intriguing fixtures as Fiorentina take on AS Roma on Sunday, October 5, 2025 (14:00 GMT). Both sides come into this clash evenly matched according to Football Park’s algorithm, with the win probability split at 46.7% each — a rare balance that sets the stage for an unpredictable, high-intensity battle.
Following the proven template used in San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, our advanced data model projects goals in this encounter. With a 60% chance of Over 2.5 Goals and a predicted 2-2 correct scoreline, this match could be another classic in a fixture that has historically delivered drama. Bettors should note that attacking patterns and high goal expectancy make goal-related markets particularly attractive in this one.
Fiorentina Win Probability: 46.7%
AS Roma Win Probability: 46.7%
Draw Probability: 6.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 53.3%
Football Park’s top two algorithm-backed insights for this fixture are:
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 – With a 60% chance, the numbers strongly favour a high-scoring contest, offering value at more than double your stake.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 – Given the 53.3% probability and recent goal-heavy meetings between these clubs, this market provides solid betting appeal.
This fixture has consistently produced goals and drama:
27 Oct 2024 – Fiorentina 5-1 AS Roma
10 Mar 2024 – Fiorentina 2-2 AS Roma
27 May 2023 – Fiorentina 2-1 AS Roma
09 May 2022 – Fiorentina 2-0 AS Roma
03 Mar 2021 – Fiorentina 1-2 AS Roma
In fact, seven of the last 10 meetings in Florence have seen Over 2.5 Goals land, further strengthening the case for a goal-focused betting approach.
Confirmed Fiorentina vs AS Roma lineups will be available around one hour before kick-off. Expect tactical flexibility from both sides, with Fiorentina’s attacking intent often clashing against Roma’s direct forward play — a balance that enhances goal potential.
Most Likely Result: Draw
Most Probable Scoreline: 2-2
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw
Top Value Bets: Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10, Both Teams to Score @ 1.91
Competition: Serie A
Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
Kick-Off: 14:00 GMT
Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Broadcast: DAZN (Italy), international rights via Serie A broadcast partners
Our model highlights Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS as the strongest markets, but this is a high-variance fixture. With both sides evenly matched, outcome bets on win/draw may carry less value. Bet responsibly by focusing on goal-based markets with a statistical edge.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our previews combine advanced algorithmic insights with expert betting knowledge to help you find value in every fixture.
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