Besiktas vs Fenerbahce Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Besiktas vs Fenerbahce Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Sunday, 2 November 2025 | Kick-off: 17:00 GMT | Competition: Turkey Süper Lig

Match Overview

The Istanbul derby returns with two of Turkey’s biggest clubs clashing at Vodafone Park. The Football Park predictive model expects a tight and fiery encounter, giving equal 33.3% probabilities for a Besiktas win, Fenerbahce win, or draw, highlighting the balance between the sides.

With both teams averaging over 1 goal per match, and 73.3% probability for both teams to score, this fixture has all the ingredients for another open, goal-heavy battle — a consistent trend in recent meetings.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Home Win Probability: 33.30%

Away Win Probability: 33.30%

Draw Probability: 33.30%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 73.30%

Expected Match Goals: 2.50

The model predicts a 2-2 draw as the most likely outcome, reflecting both sides’ strong offensive output but inconsistent defensive performances.

Key Betting Tips

Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 1.91

This market aligns perfectly with the data — 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 73.3% chance of BTTS. Six of the last nine derbies between these sides have featured three or more goals with both teams scoring.

Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 1.91

Draw @ 3.60

The Football Park model rates this fixture as one of the most evenly matched games of the season. Four of the last six head-to-heads at Vodafone Park have ended level, often in scorelines like 1-1 or 2-2.

Recommended Bet: Draw @ 3.60

Head-to-Head Timeline – Besiktas vs Fenerbahce

07 Dec 2024: Besiktas 1-0 Fenerbahce

09 Dec 2023: Besiktas 1-3 Fenerbahce

02 Oct 2022: Besiktas 0-0 Fenerbahce

08 May 2022: Besiktas 1-1 Fenerbahce

21 Mar 2021: Besiktas 1-1 Fenerbahce

19 Jul 2020: Besiktas 2-0 Fenerbahce

25 Feb 2019: Besiktas 3-3 Fenerbahce

01 Mar 2018: Besiktas 2-2 Fenerbahce

25 Feb 2018: Besiktas 3-1 Fenerbahce

07 May 2017: Besiktas 1-1 Fenerbahce

Goals have flowed freely in recent encounters — seven of the last ten have seen both teams score, while six produced over 2.5 goals.

Statistical Breakdown – Besiktas vs Fenerbahce Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 90% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 75% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 60% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 30% probability

Both Teams to Score: 73.3% probability

Predicted Match Goals: 2.50

The data points to another open contest — with 1.13 expected first-half goals and 47% chance of over 1.5 first-half goals, a fast-paced start looks likely.

Betting Outlook

Expect an entertaining and evenly matched derby, where defensive lapses could play a major role. Besiktas’ home advantage and Fenerbahce’s attacking strength balance out to produce a high-scoring stalemate.

Predicted Outcome: Besiktas 2-2 Fenerbahce

Most Valuable Markets: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.91 | Draw @ 3.60

Responsible Gambling Message

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