Azerbaijan
Lithuania
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips
AZERBAIJAN VS LITHUANIA PREDICTIONS, LINEUPS & BETTING TIPS
Azerbaijan welcome Lithuania in UEFA Nations League action on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Time to see what the numbers say.
Recent Results
It's been up and down for Azerbaijan: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses recently.
Lithuania have been struggling — 3 losses in 5 games isn't great.
Our Prediction
The algorithm can't separate these two. Azerbaijan: 41.70%. Lithuania: 25.80%. Draw: 32.50%. Anyone's game. Scoreline prediction: 1-1.
How Many Goals?
41.60% for BTTS. It's a maybe from the algorithm.
Don't expect a thriller — Over 2.5 is only at 33.70%. Over 1.5 is 62.10%, which is more realistic.
Top Selection
We're going with Over 1.5 Goals at 1.300. The algorithm puts this at 62.10%.
Market Prices
Market prices: Azerbaijan win 2.250, Lithuania win 3.400, Draw 2.900. For goals, BTTS Yes 2.200 / No 1.620, Over 2.5 at 1.570.
This analysis was automatically generated by the Football Park prediction system. The model uses historical performance and statistical analysis — but remember, this is football, and upsets happen. Please bet responsibly.
AZERBAIJAN VS LITHUANIA PREDICTIONS
The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, but across every possible scoreline a azerbaijan win is the more likely outcome.
AZERBAIJAN VS LITHUANIA HEAD TO HEAD
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | Lithuania | 1 - 1 | Azerbaijan |
| 25 Mar 2019 | Azerbaijan | 0 - 0 | Lithuania |
RECENT FORM
Azerbaijan Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | Azerbaijan | 0 - 0 | Liechtenstein |
| 27 Sep | Lithuania | 1 - 1 | Azerbaijan |
| 30 Mar | Azerbaijan | 1 - 1 | Sierra Leone |
| 27 Mar | Azerbaijan | 6 - 1 | St. Lucia |
| 16 Nov | Azerbaijan | 1 - 3 | France |
Lithuania Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Lithuania | 1 - 1 | Azerbaijan |
| 24 Sep | Liechtenstein | 0 - 2 | Lithuania |
| 06 Jun | Lithuania | 1 - 1 | Latvia |
| 17 Nov | Netherlands | 4 - 0 | Lithuania |
| 12 Oct | Lithuania | 0 - 2 | Poland |
BEST AZERBAIJAN VS LITHUANIA BETTING TIPS
Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.
Bet with BOYLE SportsSet a budget before you start, and stop if it stops being fun. 18+ BeGambleAware.org
MATCH RESULT PREDICTIONS
TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS
FIRST HALF PREDICTIONS
Projected cards and corners
Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.
Corners
Match total we project 5.0
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 17%– | 83%– |
| 8.0 | 17%1.80 | 83%2.00 |
| 8.5 | 10%2.00 | 90%1.73 |
Azerbaijan we project 2.5
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 27%– | 73%– |
| 4.5 | 16%2.00 | 84%1.73 |
| 5.5 | 9%– | 91%– |
Lithuania we project 2.5
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 26%1.83 | 74%1.83 |
| 4.5 | 16%– | 84%– |
| 5.5 | 9%– | 91%– |
Cards
Referee: Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Match total we project 4.5
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 65%– | 35%– |
| 4.5 | 46%– | 54%– |
| 5.5 | 29%– | 71%– |
Azerbaijan we project 2.4
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 69%– | 31%– |
| 2.5 | 43%– | 57%– |
| 3.5 | 22%– | 78%– |
Lithuania we project 2.1
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 62%– | 38%– |
| 2.5 | 35%– | 65%– |
| 3.5 | 16%– | 84%– |
A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.
