Greece
VS
Germany

Greece vs Germany: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

UEFA Nations League • 04.10.2026 - 19:45

GREECE VS GERMANY PREDICTIONS, LINEUPS & BETTING TIPS

UEFA Nations League action on Sunday as Greece go head-to-head with Germany. Here's our data-driven breakdown.

How Are They Looking?

A bit wobbly from Greece recently: 2W 0D 3L in their last 5.

It's been up and down for Germany: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses recently.

Breaking Down The Odds

Really hard to call this one — Greece at 44.40%, Germany at 27.70%, and 27.80% for the draw. Proper 50-50 stuff. The predicted scoreline? 1-1.

Will We See Goals?

Both Teams to Score sits at 54.90%. Not the strongest lean either way.

Two or three goals is the most likely outcome. Over 1.5: 76.00%. Over 2.5: 50.20%. Over 3.5: 28.20%.

Our Pick

The standout pick here is Greece to win (1.500). Our algorithm rates this at 44.40% confidence.

Current Odds

Bookies have it: Greece 1.500, Draw 3.000, Germany 1.500. BTTS Yes is 0.000, No is 0.000. Over 2.5 Goals at 0.000.


This content was created by our AI prediction system. It's based on real data and proper stats, but football doesn't always follow the script. Bet within your means.

GREECE VS GERMANY PREDICTIONS

Greece Win 23%
Draw 25%
Germany Win 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
BTTS Yes 61%
Most Likely Result Germany win
Most Likely Scoreline 1-1

The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, but across every possible scoreline a germany win is the more likely outcome.

GREECE VS GERMANY HEAD TO HEAD

DateHomeScoreAway
27 Sep 2026 Germany 0 - 1 Greece
07 Jun 2024 Germany 2 - 1 Greece
22 Jun 2012 Germany 4 - 2 Greece

RECENT FORM

Greece
D W L W L
Germany
D L W W L

Greece Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Oct Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands
27 Sep Germany 0 - 1 Greece
24 Sep Serbia 1 - 2 Greece
18 Nov Belarus 0 - 0 Greece
15 Nov Greece 3 - 2 Scotland

Germany Recent Results

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Oct Germany 2 - 0 Serbia
27 Sep Germany 0 - 1 Greece
24 Sep Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany
29 Jun Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay
25 Jun Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany

BEST GREECE VS GERMANY BETTING TIPS

1
Football Park Best Bet 1 Away or Draw (X2)
Odds 1.22 82% chance
If you staked you would get back £12.20
2
Football Park Best Bet 2 BTTS Yes
Odds 1.57 64% chance
If you staked you would get back £15.70
3
Football Park Best Bet 3 Over 2.5 Goals
Odds 1.60 63% chance
If you staked you would get back £16.00

Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.

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MATCH RESULT PREDICTIONS

Greece Win
23%
Draw
25%
Germany Win
52%
Correct Score
1-1

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
BTTS Yes
61%

FIRST HALF PREDICTIONS

Greece Win
20%
Draw
40%
Germany Win
38%
Over 0.5 FH Goals
73%
Over 1.5 FH Goals
41%

Projected cards and corners

Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.

Corners

Match total we project 11.3

Line Over Under
10.5 55%– 45%–
11.5 45%– 55%–
12.5 36%– 64%–

Greece we project 5.3

Line Over Under
4.5 56%– 45%–
5.5 42%– 58%–
6.5 31%– 69%–

Germany we project 6.0

Line Over Under
4.5 64%1.62 36%2.20
5.5 51%1.83 49%1.83
6.5 39%– 61%–

Cards

Referee: Clement Turpin

Match total we project 3.3

Line Over Under
2.5 65%– 35%–
3.5 43%1.80 57%1.91
4.5 24%2.20 76%1.62

Greece we project 2.2

Line Over Under
1.5 65%– 35%–
2.5 38%2.50 62%1.50
3.5 19%– 82%–

Germany we project 1.1

Line Over Under
0.5 67%– 33%–
1.5 31%1.83 70%1.83
2.5 10%– 90%–

A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.