Netherlands
Serbia
Netherlands vs Serbia: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips
NETHERLANDS VS SERBIA PREDICTIONS, LINEUPS & BETTING TIPS
Netherlands welcome Serbia in UEFA Nations League action on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Time to see what the numbers say.
Form Check
Neither here nor there for Netherlands with 3 draws from 5 outings.
Serbia are a mixed bag lately: 2W 2D 1L from the last 5.
What Does The Model Say?
The algorithm can't separate these two. Netherlands: 44.40%. Serbia: 28.90%. Draw: 26.70%. Anyone's game. Scoreline prediction: 1-1.
The Goals Markets
58.90% for BTTS. It's a maybe from the algorithm.
Over 2.5 Goals at 55.20% — nothing to get too excited about. Over 1.5 is 79.60%, Over 3.5 is 32.90%.
Where's The Value?
Netherlands to win looks like the play here — 1.500 available with a 44.40% confidence rating from our model.
Market Prices
Market prices: Netherlands win 1.500, Serbia win 1.500, Draw 3.000. For goals, BTTS Yes 0.000 / No 0.000, Over 2.5 at 0.000.
AI-generated match preview based on our prediction model. The algorithm analyses thousands of data points, but it's still just probabilities. Gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
NETHERLANDS VS SERBIA PREDICTIONS
NETHERLANDS VS SERBIA HEAD TO HEAD
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | Serbia | 1 - 2 | Netherlands |
RECENT FORM
Netherlands Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | Greece | 2 - 2 | Netherlands |
| 27 Sep | Serbia | 1 - 2 | Netherlands |
| 24 Sep | Netherlands | 1 - 1 | Germany |
| 30 Jun | Netherlands | 1 - 1 | Morocco |
| 25 Jun | Tunisia | 1 - 3 | Netherlands |
Serbia Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | Germany | 2 - 0 | Serbia |
| 27 Sep | Serbia | 1 - 2 | Netherlands |
| 24 Sep | Serbia | 1 - 2 | Greece |
| 16 Nov | Serbia | 2 - 1 | Latvia |
| 13 Nov | England | 2 - 0 | Serbia |
BEST NETHERLANDS VS SERBIA BETTING TIPS
Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.
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MATCH RESULT PREDICTIONS
TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS
FIRST HALF PREDICTIONS
Projected cards and corners
Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.
Corners
Match total we project 12.0
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 61%– | 39%– |
| 11.5 | 51%– | 49%– |
| 12.5 | 42%– | 58%– |
Netherlands we project 6.6
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 59%– | 41%– |
| 6.5 | 47%1.67 | 54%2.10 |
| 7.5 | 36%– | 64%– |
Serbia we project 5.3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 55%– | 45%– |
| 5.5 | 42%– | 58%– |
| 6.5 | 31%– | 69%– |
Cards
Referee: Donatas Rumsas
Match total we project 2.4
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 68%– | 32%– |
| 2.5 | 42%– | 58%– |
| 3.5 | 21%2.20 | 79%1.62 |
Netherlands we project 1.0
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 63%1.44 | 37%2.62 |
| 1.5 | 26%2.25 | 74%1.57 |
| 2.5 | 8%– | 92%– |
Serbia we project 1.4
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74%– | 26%– |
| 1.5 | 39%– | 61%– |
| 2.5 | 16%2.50 | 84%1.50 |
A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.
