Portugal
Norway
Portugal vs Norway: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips
PORTUGAL VS NORWAY PREDICTIONS, LINEUPS & BETTING TIPS
We've got Portugal facing Norway in the UEFA Nations League coming up, and our model has some thoughts on how this might play out.
Recent Results
Portugal are ticking along nicely with 3 wins from 5 recently.
You can't argue with Norway's recent run: 5 wins in 5 games. A hat-trick of wins gives them plenty of confidence.
The Algorithm's Verdict
Really hard to call this one — Portugal at 44.40%, Norway at 29.60%, and 25.90% for the draw. Proper 50-50 stuff. The predicted scoreline? 1-1.
Goals, Goals, Goals?
Both Teams to Score sits at 61.50%. Not the strongest lean either way.
Two or three goals is the most likely outcome. Over 1.5: 81.80%. Over 2.5: 58.60%. Over 3.5: 36.20%.
The Bet We Like
If we're putting our neck on the line, it's Portugal to win at 1.500. The model gives this a 44.40% probability.
Market Prices
Bookies have it: Portugal 1.500, Draw 3.000, Norway 1.500. BTTS Yes is 0.000, No is 0.000. Over 2.5 Goals at 0.000.
Match preview generated automatically using our football prediction algorithm. Data-driven doesn't mean guaranteed — always gamble responsibly.
PORTUGAL VS NORWAY PREDICTIONS
PORTUGAL VS NORWAY HEAD TO HEAD
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | Norway | 1 - 2 | Portugal |
RECENT FORM
Portugal Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | Denmark | 2 - 4 | Portugal |
| 27 Sep | Norway | 1 - 2 | Portugal |
| 24 Sep | Portugal | 1 - 0 | Wales |
| 06 Jul | Portugal | 0 - 1 | Spain |
| 02 Jul | Portugal | 2 - 1 | Croatia |
Norway Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | Wales | 2 - 1 | Norway |
| 27 Sep | Norway | 1 - 2 | Portugal |
| 24 Sep | Norway | 3 - 2 | Denmark |
| 11 Jul | Norway | 1 - 2 | England |
| 05 Jul | Brazil | 1 - 2 | Norway |
BEST PORTUGAL VS NORWAY BETTING TIPS
Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.
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MATCH RESULT PREDICTIONS
TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS
FIRST HALF PREDICTIONS
Projected cards and corners
Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.
Corners
Match total we project 11.0
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 52%– | 48%– |
| 11.5 | 42%– | 58%– |
| 12.5 | 33%– | 67%– |
Portugal we project 6.3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 55%1.83 | 46%1.83 |
| 6.5 | 42%– | 58%– |
| 7.5 | 32%– | 68%– |
Norway we project 4.7
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 62%2.10 | 38%1.67 |
| 4.5 | 47%– | 53%– |
| 5.5 | 34%– | 66%– |
Cards
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Match total we project 3.1
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 59%– | 41%– |
| 3.5 | 36%– | 64%– |
| 4.5 | 19%2.10 | 81%1.67 |
Portugal we project 1.8
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83%– | 17%– |
| 1.5 | 53%1.62 | 47%2.20 |
| 2.5 | 26%2.50 | 74%1.50 |
Norway we project 1.3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 72%– | 28%– |
| 1.5 | 36%– | 64%– |
| 2.5 | 14%2.10 | 86%1.67 |
A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.
