Wales
Denmark
Wales vs Denmark: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips
WALES VS DENMARK PREDICTIONS, LINEUPS & BETTING TIPS
UEFA Nations League action on Sunday as Wales go head-to-head with Denmark. Here's our data-driven breakdown.
The Form Guide
Solid stuff from Wales — 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 defeats in their last 5.
It's been up and down for Denmark: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses recently.
The Algorithm's Verdict
Really hard to call this one — Wales at 44.40%, Denmark at 31.50%, and 24.00% for the draw. Proper 50-50 stuff. The predicted scoreline? 1-1.
Goals, Goals, Goals?
Expect goals at both ends — BTTS comes in at 68.20% on our model.
Goals expected here. Over 2.5 at 67.20% confidence. The Over 1.5 (86.90%) looks nailed on, and even Over 3.5 (45.50%) isn't crazy.
The Bet We Like
If we're putting our neck on the line, it's Wales to win at 1.500. The model gives this a 44.40% probability.
Current Odds
Bookies have it: Wales 1.500, Draw 3.000, Denmark 1.500. BTTS Yes is 0.000, No is 0.000. Over 2.5 Goals at 0.000.
Match preview generated automatically using our football prediction algorithm. Data-driven doesn't mean guaranteed — always gamble responsibly.
WALES VS DENMARK PREDICTIONS
The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, but across every possible scoreline a denmark win is the more likely outcome.
WALES VS DENMARK HEAD TO HEAD
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | Denmark | 2 - 0 | Wales |
| 26 Jun 2021 | Wales | 0 - 4 | Denmark |
| 16 Nov 2018 | Wales | 1 - 2 | Denmark |
| 09 Sep 2018 | Denmark | 2 - 0 | Wales |
RECENT FORM
Wales Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | Wales | 2 - 1 | Norway |
| 27 Sep | Denmark | 2 - 0 | Wales |
| 24 Sep | Portugal | 1 - 0 | Wales |
| 26 Mar | Wales | 1 - 1 | Bosnia & Herzegovina |
| 18 Nov | Wales | 7 - 1 | FYR Macedonia |
Denmark Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct | Denmark | 2 - 4 | Portugal |
| 27 Sep | Denmark | 2 - 0 | Wales |
| 24 Sep | Norway | 3 - 2 | Denmark |
| 31 Mar | Czechia | 1 - 1 | Denmark |
| 26 Mar | Denmark | 4 - 0 | FYR Macedonia |
BEST WALES VS DENMARK BETTING TIPS
Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.
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MATCH RESULT PREDICTIONS
TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS
FIRST HALF PREDICTIONS
Projected cards and corners
Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.
Corners
Match total we project 12.7
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 67%– | 33%– |
| 11.5 | 58%– | 42%– |
| 12.5 | 49%– | 52%– |
Wales we project 5.8
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 61%– | 39%– |
| 5.5 | 48%– | 52%– |
| 6.5 | 36%– | 64%– |
Denmark we project 6.9
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 62%– | 38%– |
| 6.5 | 50%– | 50%– |
| 7.5 | 39%– | 62%– |
Cards
Referee: Irfan Peljto
Match total we project 3.1
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 61%– | 40%– |
| 3.5 | 38%1.83 | 62%1.83 |
| 4.5 | 21%– | 79%– |
Wales we project 1.6
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79%– | 21%– |
| 1.5 | 47%1.53 | 53%2.38 |
| 2.5 | 21%– | 79%– |
Denmark we project 1.6
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79%– | 21%– |
| 1.5 | 46%1.83 | 54%1.83 |
| 2.5 | 20%– | 80%– |
A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.
