Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio Prediction

The Brazilian Serie A is heating up as they approach the business end of the season. Atletico Mineiro host Gremio this week and the visitors could go above them should they win.

Key Stats

• Atletico Mineiro are just two points and a single position above Gremio
• They have 10 draws this season, the joint second highest in the league
• Gremio have just five draws, which is the lowest number in the division
• They have had a player sent off in each of their last two games, but still managed to walk away with four points

Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio Previews, Form and Players to Watch

Both teams come into this match with a mixed bag in terms of form, having won once, drawn once and lost once in their last three games. They also have similar goals scored and goals against stats so far this season, which demonstrates how tight the Brazilian Serie A is.

Atletico Mineiro Preview

Atletico Mineiro Predicted Lineup - Matheus Mendes; Junior Alonso, Bruno Fuchs, Lyanco; Rubens, Otavio, Fausto Vera, Brahian Palacios; Igor Gomes, Eduardo Vargas; Deyverson

Last weekend Atletico Mineiro bottled a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 against Vitoria, a side battling to stay in the top division this season. This sums up their season as a whole, as they have been good at times, but really should have won more games than they have.

Eduardo Vargas has been impressive this season, as he has managed a goal every 96 minutes of football. In recent weeks he has been given a starting spot and he could shine once again against Gremio.

Gremio Preview

Gremio Predicted Lineup - Caique; Reinaldo, Walter Kannemann, Gustavo Martins, Joao Pedro; Alexander Aravena, Dodi, Pepe, Edenilson; Franco Cristaldo, Martin Braithwaite

This season, Gremio have been up and down for the whole duration. They have a core of talented players, but for various reasons, they just haven’t clicked into shape at times. They managed to win their last game, against third placed Fortaleza, despite both teams seeing a man dismissed.

Since joining in July, Martin Braithwaite has been involved in six goals in eight games and looks to have filled a hole in the Gremio attack. The former Barcelona man’s contract with Espanyol ran out, so he joined the Brazilian side on a free.

Head to Head Stats - Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio

In total, Gremio have the better head to head record over Atletico Mineiro, with 18 wins to Mineiro’s 11. They have also drawn on seven occasions.

1st Sept 2024 - Gremio 2-3 Atletico Mineiro - Serie A

26th Nov 2023 - Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Gremio - Serie A

23rd July 2023 - Gremio 1-0 Atletico Mineiro - Serie A

10th Dec 2021 - Gremio 4-3 Atletico Mineiro - Serie A

4th Nov 2021 - Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Gremio - Serie A

Betting Tips for Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio

This game is likely to be tight and given the defensive frailties of both sides, there could be quite a few goals. Despite the most recent result going against them, I think the Gremio will be better on this occasion, mainly because they were down to ten men in that fixture.

With time ticking on in the season, Gremio will want their final position to be a bit more flattering than it actually is, so I think they will work hard to get a result here. Given recent results too, a win against third and a draw against first, they have shown that they can get points as underdogs.

With all of this in mind, our team of professional experts have decided that the best tip for this game is for Gremio to Win. Odds of 61/20 on Highbet means that a £10 bet could see a potential return of £40.50.

(odds subject to change)

Final Prediction

Atletico Mineiro 2-4 Gremio

The international break doesn’t mean an end to domestic football! There are still plenty of exciting matches taking place this week.