Burnley vs Swansea City Prediction

This Sunday’s Championship match sees Swansea City make the trip to face Burnley at Turf Moor. With both sides pushing for promotion either through the Playoffs or automatic promotion, a win is a must need with the result possibly having serious implications going forward.

Key Stats

• Burnley haven’t managed to score in their last 3 games in the Championship
• Burnley haven’t scored in their last 2 home matches
• Swansea City’s Ronald Pereira is ranked 3rd in the Championship for big chances created (7)

Team Previews, Form and Standout Players

Swansea have been fantastic at the back with only Burnley and Sheffield United conceding less goals than them. The Welsh side come into this match in the better form having won consecutive games and their opponents Burnley have only managed to win once in their last five games which include two goalless draws.

Burnley Preview

Predicted Line-Up: James Trafford; Lucas Pires, Maxime Estève, CJ Egan-Riley, Connor Roberts; Josh Cullen, Josh Brownhill (c); Jaidon Anthony, Jeremy Sarmiento, Luca Koleosho; Zian Flemming

After a year’s stint in the Premier League, Burnley are back down in the Championship, but failing to go straight back up could be on the cards. The Clarets are currently standing in fourth place in the league standings after 14 games. Six wins and two losses and six draws leaves them with 24 points, only two points behind third placed Leeds United. However, Burnley are struggling as of late performance wise and have a plethora of injuries in their squad.

Scott Parker has been falling off in getting Burnley the results that they need in order to stay in contention of making it back up to the Premier League. The club will want automatic promotion to be sure but at the moment that feat is not possible. A total of nine players are expected to miss the game against Swansea and most of them are in attack, hinting that they might struggle to score in front of the home fans in this game. Aaron Ramsey, Hannes Delcroix, Hjalmar Ekdal, Joe Worrall, Jordan Beyer, Lyle Foster, Manuel Benson, Mike Tresor and Nathan Redmond are all unavailable with the absence of quality centre back Jordan Beyer and talented youngster Aaron Ramsey are big misses for Burnley. It has been a combination of lack of fully fit players and the manager that has left Burnley with one win in their last five. We spoke about Scott Parker at Burnley back in August and had this to say:

He got it spot on👇😳 https://t.co/NyCr9F8GQM

— Football Park (@thefootballpark) November 4, 2024

Swansea City Preview

Predicted Line-Up: Lawrence Vigouroux; Kyle Naughton, Harry Darling, Ben Cabango, Josh Key; Gonçalo Franco, Matt Grimes (c); Ronald Pereira, Liam Cullen, Myles Peart-Harris; Zan Vipotnik

There might have only been 14 games in the Championship, but Swansea City look to be on track to make the playoff places come the end of the season given their current form. Finishing in 14th last season left a lot to be improved and they have done so, finding themselves in ninth at the moment. As high as fifth is in reach with the gap to them and West Brom only three points, meaning a result in this match against Burnley would get them there, depending on certain results. 19 points from these opening 14 domestic games which is five wins, five losses and four draws when you break it down.

The Swans have been immense defensively with them conceding only nine goals, the centre back partnership of Ben Cabango and Harry Darling have been immense. Keeper Lawrence Vigouroux, who will be facing his parent club as a Burnley loanee in this match, has been great too. He is placed third in the list of Championship goalkeepers for the stat of expected goals prevented, amassing an expected 3.0 goals prevented.

Head To Head Stats: Burnley vs Swansea City

There have been 18 matches where these two teams have faced each other throughout history.

Swansea come into this match holding an advantage over Burnley as they have come out victors on eight occasions, one more time than Burnley’s seven wins in this fixture. A draw has happened three times out of the 18 games, leaving Swansea with a 38.9% win percentage.

The last five faceoffs have been split in the favour of Burnley, winning three and Swansea winning twice. A couple of those meetings where way back when both of these sides were competing in the Premier League together, but Swansea have a chance to beat them in the Championship after not being able to in their last two attempts.

2nd January 2023 – Swansea 1-2 Burnley – Championship

15th October 2022 – Burnley 4-0 Swansea – Championship

10th February 2018 – Swansea 1-0 Burnley – Premier League

18th November 2017 – Burnley 2-0 Swansea – Premier League

4th March 2017 – Swansea 3-2 Burnley – Premier League

Betting Tips For Burnley vs Swansea City

Swansea have managed to win their two previous games and Burnley on the other hand have only won once in their last five. With the claret and blue team in not so great form, Swansea could pull off an upset in this Sunday’s match.

For that reason, our betting experts have gone with Swansea City To Win as our best value tip for this game.

Odds of 61/20 mean that a £10 bet has the potential to return up to £40.50 in this match.

(odds subject to change)

Final Prediction: Burnley vs Swansea City

Burnley 0-1 Swansea City

We can see Swansea continuing their back to back wins with a third in this one, capitalising on the long injury list that Burnley currently obtain, and the poor performances Scott Parker’s men have displayed.