Football Park's Best Bets | Chelsea vs Arsenal Longshot Premier League Bet Builder

Chelsea vs Arsenal Longshot Premier League Bet Builder

Chelsea vs Arsenal. A classic London Derby. Second vs First. The World Champions against the best team in Europe. It’s just crying out for a bet, isn’t it?

The two sides, who at the moment, are the two finest in England, are separated by almost nothing as they head into this high-stakes derby clash - Chelsea romped to a superb win over Barcelona on Tuesday, one which looked likely even without the Barca red card, before Arsenal trumped them, absolutely dominating Bayern Munich with a 3-1 the very next night.

The only considerable metric by which they can be differentiated is Arsenal’s six-point lead on Chelsea in the Premier League table - if the Gunners come away with all three point here, the minimum gap would be seven points, assuming City win. Should all their rivals slip up, Arsenal could be nine points clear by the end of the weekend, a lead they look unlikely to give up.

Conversely, a Chelsea win here would halve the deficit to the top, and should the Blues make the home advantage count here, people will have to start talking about Enzo Maresca’s side as legitimate title challengers, and no longer just young pretenders.

With so much on the line for both sides, it is only right for you to put something on the line too - this one is certainly not a banker, but if it wins, you win big. So, without further ado, here is Football Park’s Chelsea vs Arsenal longshot bet builder.

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Football Park’s Chelsea vs Arsenal Longshot Bet Builder

• Draw
• Under 2.5 Goals
• Both Teams to Score
• Arsenal - Over 4.5 Corners

Total Odds: 17.08

Why We Are Backing This Bet

Neither Side to Capitalise?

This fixture has a recent history of ending level when played at Stamford Bridge - three of the last six have ended even, with both of the last two finishing 1-1 and 2-2, respectively.

Arsenal are always willing to take the game to Chelsea when away from home, but if they do have a lead, they look to sit back and protect it, whereas at the Emirates, they tend to want to pile on the goals.

Likewise, should Chelsea take the lead, they are notoriously bad at protecting it, and either via a lapse in concentration or simply Arteta’s side coming out of their shell, they will most likely equalise in this scenario.

Neither side will have the end product to secure all three points, instead sharing them and maintaining Arsenal’s cushion at the top.

Low-Scoring Affair

What are you talking about, mate? Five of the last eight meetings have boasted over 3.5 goals, let alone 2.5. Yes, you’d be right there, but both of the last two featured under 2.5.

Moreover, Arsenal now boast one of the best defences in the world - conceding just six all season, I find it highly unlikely that they will suddenly break their solid foundation this weekend.

Whether you like it or not, Chelsea also have one of the finest defences around these days – their 11 goals conceded is the fourth-best tally in the league, and goalkeeper Robert Sanchez only has one less clean sheet (6) than Arsenal keeper David Raya (7).

I know that Chelsea’s attack has produced the most XG in the league this season, and I also know that Arsenal are joint top scorers along with Man City, but for some reason, I don’t see either following through on their attacking promise on Sunday.

Both Teams To Score

With that being said, I do think both sides will score - with their creativity and the pure variety of different offensive players on the pitch, Chelsea will be unpredictable and should be able to catch Arsenal out on one occasion.

Likewise for Arsenal, as top scorers in the league, and failing to score in just one league game this season, they will likely find the back of the net once here. However, Arteta’s attack has been ripped to shreds in recent weeks by various injuries - Viktor Gyokeres, Leandro Trossard and Gabriel Jesus will all likely be unavailable, meaning Mikel Merino will is the obvious candidate to fill in at centre forward. Lacking their usual attacking potency, Arsenal will be considerably less effective up front.

Playing to Their Strengths

Now for the roguest leg of all - Arsenal corners. It’s an unusual one to bet on, granted, but given Arsenal’s reputation for set-piece domination, this option seems fairer on this occasion than most others.

It has got to the point where Arsenal look more likely to score from corner and free-kick deliveries than from open play, and on multiple occasions we have seen them deliberately attempt to win a set piece rather than keep the ball in play.

It is from here that their goal will most likely come from, and with two of their last four matches featuring six or more corners for Mikel Arteta’s men, the data certainly back up this pick.

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