
League One action returns in midweek, the perfect warm-up period to get into the Christmas spirit - obscure away days, comfort food, and the cold-biting wind in mid-December? The quintessential EFL experience, if you ask me.
Reading host Jack Wilshere’s Luton Town in Thursday’s headline action - the visitors have struggled to pick up meaningful points in recent times, drawing four of their last five, while Reading, after embarking on a five-game unbeaten streak in the league, have suffered defeat in both of their last two games.
Both sides then will be looking to get some momentum on their side with a result here, with plenty on the line for both outfits - a win for Luton could propel them into the play-off places if Stockport County lose to Mansfield, while a Reading victory would provide some much-needed breathing room at the bottom of the table. Currently 18th, they sit level on points with 21st-placed Plymouth.
With stakes high for both sides, it is only right that you stake something yourself - that is why we at Football Park have built you two carefully crafted bet builders that cater to bettors looking for both big wins and small profits. What better way to get invested in the EFL’s midweek action?
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Total Odds: 4.22
Half Time Correct Score: 1-1
Backing Luton: Despite their woeful record of converting equal scorelines to wins in recent weeks, Luton are exceptionally tough to beat. Since Wilshere took over back in October, the Hatters have been beaten just twice, with one of these being his first game in charge.
This is a vital ability in the EFL - if you make yourself tough to beat, the points add up slowly but surely - unbeaten in their last five league games, we can see them picking up yet another point at least here.
Halfway There: Logic dictates that for Luton to stand a chance of a win for the double chance bet, they must win at least one half of football. Remarkably, they have failed to do that since a 4-0 win over Exeter in the Vertu trophy at the very start of December.
Even more worryingly, they have won just two halves in football in their last five league games - 2 out of 10 halves for those of you keeping count. However, against an out-of-form Reading, the Hatters should be able to find some form, for at least a half.
Goals at Both Ends: For all of our ranting over why Luton are more likely to win this game, Reading are far from defenceless - prior to consecutive defeats, they had picked up points against fellow strugglers Doncaster, Blackpool, Rotherham and fifth-placed Stevenage, proving that they have what it takes to win the games they are supposed to, along with providing the occasional shock.
Combining both sides’ last five games, only one out of their 10 fixtures has ended in either firing a blank - this came in Reading’s most recent defeat, a 2-0 loss to Bradford City. With the home advantage and a hunger to end their pointless run, Reading will certainly test the Luton backline.
Draw and BTTS: With two legs rolled into one here, the odds for this bet alone are 7/2, value enough for the more conservative bettors. Adhering to our extremely detailed API, a draw here stands the most chance of coming off at 40%.
Combining this with our both teams to score confidence of 63.3% and our predicted scoreline of 1-1, this bet is backed by hard data, and though it may be uncomfortably specific for some of our bettors, it stands a better chance than many other result/goals legs.
Low-Scorer: Doubling down on our 1-1 score prediction, under 2.5 goals is a sensible additional leg if you are going all out for a correct score prediction. It bolsters odds nicely while not bringing the odds to an outlandish total.
It certainly helps that two of Luton’s last five games have ended in 1-1 draws, while Reading have only scored more than once in one of their last five league games. If you are looking for data-backed recommendations, this one certainly falls under that umbrella.
Half Time Correct Score: This is the leg that makes this “high-risk bet” high risk. The odds of a level game with a goal apiece at half time are currently 6/1, once again more than high enough to warrant a bet as a stand-alone stake.
However, at Football Park, we don’t do things in half measures. Our API has predicted a 1-1 draw, and we will follow that to the grave. It will certainly boost your confidence that Luton actually landed this leg in their last game, their 2-2 draw with Port Vale heading into the break at 1-1. It couldn’t happen twice in a row, could it …?
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