
Plenty of Premier League action to get stuck into this weekend, and the M23 derby between Brighton and Crystal Palace stands out as one of Sunday’s most intriguing betting angles.
A few “safe” selections, one or two calculated risks, and just enough confidence to piece together a smart bet builder that could offer serious value. Brighton’s strong home record at the Amex makes the Seagulls the steady foundation, while Palace’s attacking threats on the counter give us opportunities in the goals and cards markets.
We’ve put together our Bet Builder using our strongest selections, backed by form, stats, and insight from our in-house tipsters, giving you the best chance of landing a winning bet.
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(£10 Stake Returns £19.50)
(£10 Stake Returns £260)
Low Risk: Over 1.5 goals seems a banker in this fixture. You can argue that's a tough leg with last times meeting ending in a 0-0 draw. But the Amex has had some classics over the last few years and very rarely ends a stalemate. Last time out the Eagles soared to a 3-1 win with Ismailar Sarr double. Derbies can be cagey early on, but once the first goal goes in the game usually opens up. With both sides capable of scoring and neither defence watertight, two total goals feels a very achievable line.
Corners are a strong angle here because of how both teams play stylistically. Brighton dominate possession and territory at home, which naturally leads to goal scoring opportunites and numerous attacking phases. Palace also attack quickly in transition and use width, which adds their own corner potential on the break. Premier League matches regularly average 9–10+ corners per game, so a line of just 8 total corners gives plenty of room for error. Even a fairly standard game flow should comfortably clear this number.
This is where the derby factor really comes into play. Brighton vs Palace is one of the more heated local rivalries in the Premier League. These games are typically physical, scrappy in midfield and full of emotions. 'South coast derby' fixtures often see multiple bookings as both sides press aggressively and look to disrupt transitions. It only takes one booking each, which is a very low threshold in a competitive Premier League clash. In the high risk selection, we'll be cheeky and try guess who will pick up a card.
High Risk
Crystal Palace have struggled as of late, but with a few new signings through the door and it being a derby, the fans and players will finally be on the same page, fighting towards one aim. The Eagles are often at their best against possession-heavy sides, where they can sit compact, absorb pressure and break quickly through their wide players. That style has caused problems for Brighton in past meetings, and derby fixtures tend to favour the more direct, clinical team rather than the one dominating the ball. With Palace carrying more pace in transition, backing an away win offers strong upside at attractive odds. Sometimes it's good to go against the bookies...
Strand Larsen provides a new focal point in attack and is exactly the type of striker you want onside in a bet builder. He’ll be heavily involved in Palace’s box touches, aerial duels and set-piece situations, meaning chances will naturally fall his way throughout the match. Against a Brighton defence that can be exposed by crosses, his presence in the penalty area makes him a constant threat. Whether from open play or a dead-ball delivery, he only needs one clear opportunity to find the net, making the anytime scorer market appealing. He'll be looking to start his Palace career with a bang and there's no better way than a goal on derby day.
Van Hecke is likely to have a busy evening dealing with Palace’s direct runners and quick transitions, which often forces defenders into awkward, last-ditch challenges. Derby games are typically physical and stretched, and centre-backs regularly pick up bookings for tactical fouls when stopping counters. With Palace’s pace targeting Brighton’s back line, Van Hecke could find himself isolated or dragged into recovery tackles, increasing the likelihood of a yellow card. In an intense matchup, this feels like a strong, situation-based selection.
We've already explained the corner leg of the bets. If you missed, read above.
With our accumulator boasting odds of 21.00, a £10 stake stands to earn you £220 should our selections come off. But as I said earlier, there is a very easy way of taking your winnings from great to unbelievable.
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