Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Sunday, 19 October 2025 Kick-off: 11:30 GMT Competition: Turkey 1. Lig

Match Overview

Sivasspor travel to Ankara to face Keçiörengücü in a fascinating Turkey 1. Lig clash that’s expected to deliver goals. According to Football Park’s data model, Sivasspor hold a 46.7% chance of victory, while the home side have just a 26.7% probability of taking all three points.

The visitors enter this matchup in strong attacking form, averaging 1.9 expected goals per game, and they already boast a convincing 4-1 win from the last head-to-head in December 2024. Keçiörengücü’s defensive numbers have been poor this season, conceding more than 1.5 goals per match on average.

With 3.1 total expected match goals and a Both Teams to Score likelihood of 63%, this fixture promises entertainment at both ends.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Our AI-powered model combines expected goals, chance creation data, and player form metrics to generate the most probable outcomes:

Home Win Probability: 26.70%

Away Win Probability: 46.70%

Draw Probability: 26.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 63.30%

Expected Match Goals: 3.10

The projections point to a fast-paced, end-to-end contest, with a Correct Score prediction of 1-2 in favour of Sivasspor.

Key Betting Tips

1. Sivasspor Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.53

Given their stronger squad depth and superior form, Sivasspor are statistically the more reliable side. They’ve lost just once in their last seven league outings, and the model gives them a 73% combined probability of avoiding defeat.

Keçiörengücü have taken only one win in their last five home fixtures, and their defensive line continues to leak goals. Recommended Bet: Sivasspor Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.53

2. Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.20

With 3.1 expected goals and both sides averaging over 1.2 xG per match, this market offers excellent value. Sivasspor’s attacking play has been particularly effective in transition, while Keçiörengücü’s home matches often open up after half-time.

The previous meeting finished 4-1 to Sivasspor, reinforcing the trend toward high-scoring encounters. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.20

Head-to-Head Timeline – Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor Matches

18 Dec 2024: Keçiörengücü 1-4 Sivasspor

Their only recent meeting was a dominant performance from Sivasspor, who controlled possession and created significantly more high-quality chances. Expect a similar pattern here, with the visitors’ pace and efficiency in front of goal posing problems again.

Statistical Breakdown – Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 70% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 70% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 65% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 40% probability

Both Teams to Score: 63% probability

Over 1.5 First Half Goals: 47% probability

These indicators reinforce the likelihood of goals and a dynamic tempo throughout, particularly in the second half.

Betting Outlook

Football Park’s predictive analytics favour Sivasspor, whose attacking output and consistency make them the more trustworthy side. However, Keçiörengücü’s home advantage could keep them competitive, suggesting value in goals markets as well as the Double Chance safety net.

Predicted outcome: Keçiörengücü 1-2 Sivasspor Most valuable markets: Sivasspor Double Chance and Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score

Responsible Gambling Message

At Football Park, we encourage smart, responsible betting. Our predictions are based on statistical probabilities — not certainties.

Always wager within your means, set clear limits, and remember that betting should remain a form of entertainment. For guidance and support, visit BeGambleAware.org or your local responsible gambling resource.