Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction and Betting Tip- Odds, H2H and Preview Predictions

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction:

This Saturday, we look forward to an incredible Melbourne Derby to see who lifts the A-League Trophy. Both sides will be looking to win their fourth premiership title when they take to the pitch this weekend.

Melbourne City managed a second-place finish during the A-League regular season, five points more than Saturday’s opponents. They come into this match in great form going eight games unbeaten. Because of their position, they only had a two-legged affair with Western United to make the final, dispatching them in a convincing 4-1 fashion.

Melbourne Victory had an extra match to play during the A-League playoffs, beating fourth place side Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 to set up a two-legged match against table-toppers Auckland FC, and despite losing the home leg, they ended up winning the tie 2-1. They come into Saturday with a vengeance after narrowly missing out last year in the Final, where they lost in extra-time to Central Coast Mariners.

As the game approaches, here is everything you need to know about both sides ahead of kick-off.

How to Watch Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory

The A-League Final will be hosted at AAMI Park on Saturday, May 31st, with a kick-off time at 10:40 BST. Here is how you can watch the match from the UK.

Live Stream

You will be able to catch this match through a livestream on Discovery+

• Date: Saturday, 31 May
• Kick-off: 10:40 BST
• Channel: Discovery+, Discovery+ App

Key Statistics

• Melbourne have impressed defensively this season, conceding a league low 25

• Carrying on with the defensive stats, Melbourne City hold the second most clean sheets in the league, with 12. Melbourne Victory sit just behind on nine

• Both sides also like to hold possession, with City in second with 55.3% average possession, compared to Victory who rank third with 53.1%

• The Victory have been better in front of goal this campaign, with 44 goals to City’s 41

Melbourne City Preview, Form and Standout Players

Melbourne City Predicted Lineup (4-1-4-1): Beach; Behich, Trewin, Ferreyra, Atkinson; Ugarkovic; Cohen, Lopane, Tilio, Kuen; Caputo.

City drew two of their last three games of the regular season- a 2-2 draw with Western Sydney before a scoreless one with Adelaide United. They finished the campaign with an impressive 5-1 win over Sydney FC as they went into the play-offs full of confidence. They defeated Western United 3-0 away, before holding them to a 1-1 draw in leg two to advance to the final.

Marco Tilio, Yonatan Cohen, and Max Caputo are all joint high goal scorers with five each and are all expected to start on Saturday. Medin Memeti has also bagged five so will look to make an impact when called upon from the bench. Expect Andreas Kuen to pull the strings in the midfield, the 30-year-old has provided seven assists this season.

Melbourne Victory Preview, Form and Standout Players

Melbourne Victory Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1): Duncan; Rodrgues, Jackson, Miranda, Rawlins; Valadon, Teague; Arzani, Machach, Velupillay; Fornaroli.

Victory’s last two matches of the regular season ended in a 2-1 win at Macarthur, followed by a 1-1 draw with Newcastle Jets. They entered the play-offs having to play a one-legged match versus Western Sydney, which they won 2-1, before having to play league-leaders Auckland for a spot in the final. Despite injuries and absences, they managed to overcome a 1-0 deficit to win 2-1 and advance to Saturday’s showpiece.

Their defence showed up when it mattered most in the last match, and with the final being something they will be desperate to win after last year’s heartbreak, especially against their rivals, they will make it very tough for City to breach them. Going forward, Zinedine Machach has found the net in both play-off ties, scoring the deciding goal in each. He will look to pose a real threat here too, having already scored seven and assisting six up to this point.

Head-to-head Comparison

In the last 10 meetings, Victory have managed four wins to City’s two, making them slight favourites heading into this final.

Recent Meetings:

• Melbourne Victory 2-2 Melbourne City, February 22, 2025

• Melbourne Victory 1-1 Melbourne City, December 21, 2024

• ** Melbourne City 1-3 Melbourne Victory, October 26, 2024**

• A-League Play-Offs- Melbourne Victory 1-1 Melbourne City (3-2p), May 5, 2024

• Melbourne Victory 2-1 Melbourne City, April 6, 2024

Betting Tip for Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory

In recent times, Victory have definitely had the better of the match-up. On top of this, they lost in the final last year, so come into this with the grit between their teeth and they will be hungry for the title. These sides also faced off in last year’s play-offs- a match which went all the way to penalties and included two red cards, so this one could follow a similar suit.

We believe it will be a very tight match; therefore, our team of betting professionals have gone for HT Draw as the best value tip for this match. Odds on HighBet of 2.21 will mean a stake of £10 has a potential return of £22.10.

Odds Subject to Change)

Final Prediction

Melbourne City 2-2 Melbourne Victory