Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: December 29, 2025 | AAMI Park | A-League | 08:00 GMT

With Christmas passing, we will be diving straight back into league football with the new year on the horizon, as the Australian A-League returns, and there is no time to lose for these sides, as two bottom half sides look to pick up what could be the start of some good form as Wellington Phoenix travel to the AAMI Park to take on Melbourne Victory.

The hosts come into this game in fine form, having gone unbeaten in their last three, including a magnificent derby day victory over Melbourne City. Meanwhile, Wellington have struggled to get going recently, but they do come into this off the back of a 3-1 win over Central Coast Mariners.

We are going for the home and more in-form side here, however, as we certainly back a Melbourne Victory, victory!

Key Betting Tips: Melbourne Victory to Win at 1.62 odds on TalksportBET represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.

odds subject to change.

This match looks enticing from a Melbourne win outlook. The Victory have recovered from a relatively poor start to their A-League campaign, but after three games without a defeat and the heart still pumping from their A-League final revenge over rivals Melbourne City, they will feel they can easily win this fixture.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Predicted Lineups

Melbourne Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan; Jason Davidson, Roderick Miranda, Sebastian Esposito, Joshua Rawlins; Jordi Valadon, Louis D’Arrigo; Clarismario Rodrigus, Juan Mata, Nissan Velupillay; Nikolaos Vergos.

Wellington Predicted XI (3-5-2): Josh Oluwayemi; Lucas Kelly-Heald, Manjrekar James, Issac Hughes; Carlo Armiento, Ramy Najjarine, Alex Rufer, Kazuki Nagasawa; Matthew Sheridan; Corbyn Piper, Ifeanyi Eze.

There is no new injury coming out of either camp, so both sides are expected to have full-strength squads for this clash.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Current League Standings

The Victory have had a decent start to the season with all things and events considered, but the important thing is for them is that their current form could see them rise even higher than their current ninth position. They currently boast a respectable record of three wins, two draws and four defeats.

As for the Phoenix, they boast the same record as Victory, but find themselves one position better off, due to finding the net 13 times in comparison to the Victory’s seven, making their goal difference -2 three better than Melbourne’s. The issue for Phoenix so far has been their form, as they have been unable to find any strong, consistent run of form.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head Timeline

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

Through the last 15 years, these sides have met on 46 occasions. Wins seem to keep pinging around, but the Victory seem in good hands, having won 24 meetings compared with Wellington’s 12. In the last five meetings, Victory have won three to the Phoenix’s one.

• April 12, 2025: Phoenix 2-3 Victory
• February 14, 2025: Victory 1-0 Phoenix
• November 24, 2024: Phoenix 1-0 Victory
• May 18, 2024: Phoenix 1-2 Victory
• May 12, 2024: Victory 0-0 Phoenix

Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix Recent Matches Analysis

Victory Recent Matches:

• Victory 1-0 Melbourne City (A)
• Victory 2-1 Adelaide (H)
• Victory 0-0 Macarthur (A)
• Victory 0-1 Brisbane Roar (A)
• Victory 0-3 Sydney FC (A)

The Victory have been in excellent form in recent weeks. Despite going scoreless for three games, the draw with Macarthur set them up for two crucial wins. A run they will want to keep up as long as possible, and an out of form Wellington Phoenix seems like just the side they will hope to face.

Phoenix Last 5 Matches:

• Phoenix 3-1 Central Coast (H)
• Phoenix 1-3 Newcastle Jets (H)
• Phoenix 1-3 Auckland (A)
• Phoenix 2-1 Adelaide (H)
• Phoenix 0-1 Macarthur (H)

Wellington have looked strong at times during this season so far, but the timing of their performances just hasn’t quite been there so far, as they have been unable to find any consistency. A strong win over Central Coast last time out will hopefully kick them into gear to find a good streak.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a home win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Victory to Win @ 1.62 - Recent form suggests confidence in a home victory. With a 40% chance of a home win according to our incredible in-house algorithm, this seems like a strong value option.

Key Players to Watch: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix

Juan Mata (Victory): Having someone like Juan Mata in your side can improve any side, and you just never know when he will show his magic. The ex-Manchester United and Chelsea man will certainly be one to watch here.

Ifeanyi Eze (Phoenix): The Wellington side have yet to win away from home this season so far, but star performer Ifeanyi Eze may have something to say about it. They Nigerian international has mustered up four goals already this season inside just nine games, and could be a game-changer here.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Match Facts

Referee: Shaun Evans.

Stadium Information: Located in Melbourne, Australia, AAMI Park can hold up to just over 30,000 supporters, and this venue is expected to be packed for this clash, with this clash having much at stake for both sides.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix: Final Prediction

Melbourne Victory 2-1 Wellington Phoenix