Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory

Friday brings us Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory in the A-League. Let's dig into the data and see where the value might be.

The Form Guide

Wellington Phoenix's recent form reads DDWLW — nothing too dramatic either way.

Melbourne Victory have been struggling — 3 losses in 5 games isn't great. Two losses on the spin is a concern.

What Does The Model Say?

Leaning towards Wellington Phoenix here with 46.70% win probability. Melbourne Victory are at 20.00% though, so don't rule them out. Draw: 33.30%. Our model reckons this ends 2-1.

Goals Verdict

Expect goals at both ends — BTTS comes in at 73.30% on our model.

Over 2.5 Goals at 60.00% — nothing to get too excited about. Over 1.5 is 70.00%, Over 3.5 is 45.00%.

Where's The Value?

Gun to our head? Both Teams to Score at odds of 1.57. That's a 73.30% shout according to the numbers.

What The Bookies Say

Here's how the bookies see it — Wellington Phoenix 3.25, Draw 3.75, Melbourne Victory 2.05. BTTS priced at 1.57 Yes / 2.25 No. Over 2.5 Goals is 1.33.

This content was created by our AI prediction system. It's based on real data and proper stats, but football doesn't always follow the script. Bet within your means.