Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Monday, 27 October 2025 Kick-off: 18:00 GMT Competition: Lithuania A Lyga

Match Overview

Two familiar rivals meet again in the Lithuanian A Lyga as Suduva Marijampole host Kauno Žalgiris in a matchup that rarely disappoints. Recent meetings between these sides have been highly competitive and goal-heavy, with both teams scoring in five of the last six encounters.

Football Park’s model gives Kauno Žalgiris a narrow edge with a 33.3% win probability, while Suduva hold a 20% chance and a high 46.7% probability for a draw — underlining how balanced this fixture is expected to be.

The model projects 2.8 expected match goals, indicating an open and evenly fought contest likely decided by small margins.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Using advanced data models that evaluate expected goals (xG), form, and historical trends, Football Park forecasts the following:

Home Win Probability: 20.00%

Away Win Probability: 33.30%

Draw Probability: 46.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 73.30%

Expected Match Goals: 2.80

The most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, aligning with both clubs’ tendency to cancel each other out in recent clashes.

Key Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Strong Value

With a 73.3% BTTS probability, this market looks extremely solid. Both Suduva and Kauno Žalgiris have been consistent scorers — but also leaky defensively — combining for 16 goals in their last five meetings.

Expect both sides to find the net again given their attacking balance and defensive fragility. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.70 (estimated market price)

Draw @ 3.50

The data leans heavily towards a stalemate. Four of the last six meetings have ended level, including three consecutive draws since mid-2024.

With both teams averaging over 1 goal per game but struggling for defensive control, a score draw looks the most likely outcome once again. Recommended Bet: Draw @ 3.50

Head-to-Head Timeline – Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris

13 Jun 2025: Suduva 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris

17 Aug 2024: Suduva 1-1 Kauno Žalgiris

19 Jun 2024: Suduva 2-2 Kauno Žalgiris

26 Aug 2023: Suduva 2-6 Kauno Žalgiris

04 Mar 2023: Suduva 2-4 Kauno Žalgiris

19 Oct 2022: Suduva 0-2 Kauno Žalgiris

31 Aug 2022: Suduva 0-1 Kauno Žalgiris

19 Mar 2022: Suduva 1-1 Kauno Žalgiris

11 Aug 2021: Suduva 2-0 Kauno Žalgiris

07 Apr 2021: Suduva 2-1 Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris have dominated recent encounters, but Suduva remain dangerous at home, scoring in eight of their last ten meetings.

Statistical Breakdown – Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 90% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 80% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 50% probability

Both Teams to Score: 73.3% probability

Correct Score Prediction: 1-1 Draw

Expect an engaging, end-to-end battle with plenty of attacking exchanges and at least one goal from each side.

Betting Outlook

Given the balanced probabilities, Kauno Žalgiris might hold a marginal edge in quality, but Suduva’s home resilience and the frequency of draws make this matchup best approached through BTTS and draw-based markets.

Predicted outcome: Suduva Marijampole 1-1 Kauno Žalgiris Most valuable markets: Both Teams to Score | Draw

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