Africa Cup of Nations


Over 2.5
Algeria 3 - 1 DR Congo
Who will win?
1

Algeria
x
Draw
2

DR Congo
The group stages have come to a conclusion, and just 16 nations remain in the 2025/26 edition of the African Cup of Nations. Here, we have a cracker in store, as Group E victors Algeria take on Group D runners up Democratic Republic of the Congo in what could offer an exciting final day in the round of 16.
Both of these nations ended their group stage and year on a high, with the Desert Warriors finishing a perfect group stage with a comfortable win over Equatorial Guinea, while DR Congo breezed past Botswana as they just missed out on top spot.
We believe that this could be a very tight affair, but also a clash that could see a lot of goals, and we are backing over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals at 2.45 odds on TalkSPORT Bet represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.
This match looks exciting from an over 2.5 goals outlook. Algeria played out a fantastic group campaign, scoring seven goals in all, and finding three goals in two of their group games. Of course, DR Congo represent a different kind of challenge, but the Leopards have also been solid in front of goal, finding three goals against Botswana last time out.
odds subject to change.
Alternative Tip: Algeria to Win – 2.00 - there is some great looking odds from talkSPORT on this market. Algeria have looked very good so far, winning all three of their games pretty comfortably. They are the favourites coming into this too, and look like they could progress to the last eight.
Algeria Predicted XI (4-4-1-1): Luca Zidane; Rayan Ait-Nouri, Mohamed Tougai, Remy Bensabaini, Rafik Belghali; Fares Chaibi, Ismael Bennacer, Ramiz Zerrouki, Riyad Mahrez; Ibrahim Maza; Mounsef Bakrar.
Team News: Some top players who were rested for the final group game could be brought back into the lineup for this game, including Mahrez.
DR Congo Predicted XI (4-1-4-1): Lionel Mpasi-Nzau; Arthur Masuaku, Axel Tuanzebe, Chancel Mbemba, Aaron Wan-Bissaka; Samuel Moutoussamy; Meschack Elia, Noah Sadiki, Ngal Ayel Mukau, Theo Bongonda; Cedric Bakambu.
Team News: DR Congo look to have a full-strength squad available for this clash, with no new injuries or suspensions to be concerned about.
The Desert Warriors have had an excellent AFCON campaign to this point, going flawless in their group stage. They won nine points out of nine, conceding just once along the way, while scoring seven goals. They began their campaign with a 3-0 win over Sudan, before beating Burkina Faso 1-0 to confirm their passage to this stage before beating Equatorial Guinea 3-1 to round off a successful group phase.
As for DR Congo, they also endured an excellent group stage campaign, dropping just two points to favourites Senegal. They started their campaign with a narrow 1-0 over Benin, before drawing with Senegal in a 1-1 fashion. They rounded off the group with a comfortable 3-0 win over Botswana, but it unfortunately wasn’t enough to oust Senegal from top spot.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Through the last 15 years, these sides have met on just one occasion. This will be their first ever meeting in a competitive environment, with their only previous meeting coming in 2019. The game ended in a 1-1 draw, with Bakambu finding an equaliser after ex-Leicester City forward Islam Slimani opened the scoring.
Algeria Last 5 Matches:
After comfortably qualifying for yet another FIFA World Cup, Algeria headed to play in the Arab Cup early in December, in which they were knocked out by UAE on penalties. They have since come to Morocco and taken the competition by storm.
DR Congo Last 5 Matches:
DR Congo are currently riding the largest wave they have ever experienced. Earning unlikely qualification to the FIFA Intercontinental Playoffs after defeating both Cameroon and Nigeria to make it one step closer to World Cup qualification. They have since followed this up by comfortably qualifying for the AFCON last 16, and could cause another upset to make a deep run in this tournament.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in three or more goals being scored. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.45 - Recent form suggests confidence in a over 2.5 goals scored.
Riyad Mahrez (Algeria): Playing in what could be his final AFCON for the Desert Warriors, the ex-Leicester and Manchester City playmaker has been incredible for his nation through just the two appearances he has made so far. Playing just 139 minutes, he has scored three goals at an average of a goal every 46 minutes.
Cedric Bakambu (DR Congo): With how good Algeria have been so far, Congo will need to score multiple goals to win this tie. They can do this through Real Betis forward Bakambu, who has only found one goal so far, but can definitely add to his tally if he can continue to be as clinical as he has been so far.
Referee: Mahmoud Mansour (EGY).
Broadcast Details:
UK/INT’L: 4seven, Channel 4 app at 19:00 GMT.
Stadium Information: Located in Rabat, Morocco, Stade Prince Moulay El Hassan can hold up to just over 15,000 supporters, and this venue is expected to be packed for this clash, with this clash having much at stake for both sides.
Algeria 3-1 DR Congo

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