Home Win
Strasbourg 2 - 1 Le Havre
Who will win?
1
Strasbourg
x
Draw
2
Le Havre
Strasbourg host Le Havre at the Stade de la Meinau on Saturday at 20:00 (Ligue 1) in what promises to be an open and high-tempo encounter. According to the Football Park model, Strasbourg carry a 58.3% win probability, while Le Havre are rated at 28.3%, setting up a fixture with potential for goals at both ends.
The Football Park algorithm analyses over 200 performance metrics — including shot quality, defensive structure and historical trends — to produce data-driven outcomes. For this clash, the model highlights Strasbourg’s superior attacking metrics and Le Havre’s recent defensive vulnerability as key factors.
Below, we present comprehensive Strasbourg vs Le Havre predictions, detailing where the best betting value lies based on our in-house model.
Looking back at recent Strasbourg vs Le Havre matches, this fixture has consistently produced goals. Strasbourg have won all of the last four meetings, including a thrilling 3-2 away win in May 2025, a 3-1 victory in February 2024, and a 2-1 success in December 2023.
Le Havre have failed to keep a clean sheet against Strasbourg in over a decade, and their defence has conceded eight goals in the last three head-to-heads. This recent history supports the Football Park model’s projection of 3.1 expected match goals, suggesting plenty of attacking action again here.
Football Park’s data-driven algorithm projects the following probabilities for this clash:
Home Win Probability: 58.3%
Draw Probability: 13.3%
Away Win Probability: 28.3%
Most Likely Correct Score: 2-1 Strasbourg
Expected Match Goals: 3.10
Both Teams to Score Probability: 72.5%
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 80%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 63.8%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 42.5%
The algorithm also anticipates 1.32 expected first-half goals and a strong likelihood of an early breakthrough, with 73% probability of over 0.5 first-half goals.
Our two highest-value selections from the Football Park algorithm for this fixture are:
Best Bet 1: Strasbourg to Win @ 1.62 With a 58.3% win probability and a dominant recent head-to-head record, Strasbourg represent strong value as the model’s top-rated outcome.
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.80 The model assigns a 72.5% probability to BTTS, supported by the fact that both teams have scored in five of their last six meetings. This aligns closely with the attacking trends expected here.
These bets offer the strongest convergence between algorithmic projections and available market odds.
Most Likely Scoreline: 2-1 Strasbourg
Win Probabilities: Strasbourg 58.3%, Draw 13.3%, Le Havre 28.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 63.8%
First-Half Goal Chance: 73%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
Broadcast Details:
UK: TNT Sports
Europe: Canal+ / beIN Sports
Global: Ligue 1 TV (selected territories)
Venue Insight: The Stade de la Meinau has been a fortress for Strasbourg against Le Havre, with the hosts unbeaten in their last four home encounters and averaging 2.5 goals per match across those fixtures.
The Strasbourg vs Le Havre predictions from Football Park clearly point toward a home win in a high-scoring contest. Strasbourg’s attacking edge and home advantage are reflected in their 58.3% win probability, while the model’s 72.5% BTTS rating suggests Le Havre will still pose a threat going forward.
Football Park’s top two data-backed bets for this match are:
Strasbourg to Win @ 1.62
Both Teams to Score @ 1.80
As always, bet responsibly and follow Football Park’s model-driven tips for real-time insights across Ligue 1 and beyond.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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