Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Monday, 27 October 2025 Kick-off: 19:10 GMT Competition: Sweden Allsvenskan

Match Overview

The Allsvenskan season edges toward its finale with a heavyweight Scandinavian clash as Malmö FF host Hammarby FF at Eleda Stadion. Historically, Malmö dominate this fixture, and Football Park’s model once again places them as favourites — but Hammarby’s attacking unpredictability could make this one of the weekend’s most entertaining fixtures.

Malmö hold a 46.7% win probability, with Hammarby at 26.7%, while the draw stands at 26.7%, reflecting a competitive but home-leaning contest. The model predicts 3.1 total expected goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring, underlining the likelihood of an open, end-to-end battle.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Based on team form, xG performance, and shot conversion ratios, Football Park’s data model forecasts:

Home Win Probability: 46.70%

Away Win Probability: 26.70%

Draw Probability: 26.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 70.00%

Expected Match Goals: 3.10

The most likely outcome is a 2-1 Malmö FF victory, reflecting their historical dominance and superior attacking efficiency in home fixtures.

Key Betting Tips

Malmö FF to Win @ 2.15

Malmö enter this match with an exceptional home record against Hammarby — unbeaten in nine straight home encounters, winning seven of those. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.7 also edges Hammarby’s 1.3, suggesting they’re more likely to convert key chances.

With Malmö pushing for top-three positioning and Hammarby’s shaky away defence (conceding 2+ goals in four of their last five away games), the home win offers solid betting value. Recommended Bet: Malmö FF to Win @ 2.15

Both Teams to Score @ 1.67

Both sides are known for attacking intent and defensive lapses. The Football Park model gives a 70% probability for BTTS, while Hammarby have scored in 8 of their last 10 league matches.

Previous meetings support this trend — four of the last six clashes have featured both teams scoring. Expect a fast-paced, open affair with chances at both ends. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.67

Head-to-Head Timeline – Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF

07 Apr 2024: Malmö FF 2-0 Hammarby FF

30 Apr 2023: Malmö FF 4-2 Hammarby FF

01 Oct 2022: Malmö FF 0-0 Hammarby FF

10 Apr 2021: Malmö FF 3-2 Hammarby FF

23 Jul 2020: Malmö FF 3-0 Hammarby FF

24 Apr 2019: Malmö FF 4-1 Hammarby FF

20 Oct 2018: Malmö FF 2-1 Hammarby FF

17 Sep 2017: Malmö FF 4-0 Hammarby FF

06 Nov 2016: Malmö FF 3-0 Hammarby FF

Malmö’s dominance is clear — eight wins in nine home meetings, with a combined scoreline of 27-7.

Statistical Breakdown – Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 85% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 70% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 55% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 35% probability

Both Teams to Score: 70% probability

Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Malmö FF

Expect an exciting first half — the model forecasts a 73% chance of a first-half goal, with both sides creating opportunities early.

Betting Outlook

This matchup promises quality attacking football and goals on both sides, but Malmö’s consistency and home advantage should see them through. Their sharpness in front of goal and strong tactical structure make them a reliable pick to edge a competitive fixture.

Predicted outcome: Malmö FF 2-1 Hammarby FF Most valuable markets: Malmö FF to Win | Both Teams to Score

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