Away Win
Banfield 1 - 2 Union Santa Fe
Who will win?
1
Banfield
x
Draw
2
Union Santa Fe
Banfield meet Union Santa Fe at the Estadio Florencio Sola on Friday, 26 September 2025 (23:00 GMT) in Argentina’s Liga Profesional. Bookmakers rate this one even at 2.80 odds each for home and away, but Football Park’s model leans slightly towards the visitors (40% win probability).
With both sides averaging strong attacking metrics – 1.3 vs 1.7 expected goals – goals look likely. The standout value lies in Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS (3.40), supported by a 63% BTTS probability and high match goal projection (3.1).
Date: 26 September 2025
Kick-Off: 23:00 GMT
Competition: Liga Profesional Argentina
Venue: Estadio Florencio Sola, Banfield – a compact, atmospheric ground holding just over 34,000 fans.
Referee: TBC
Argentina: TNT Sports, AFA Play
International: Fanatiz, Bet365 streaming (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 33.3%
Away Win Probability: 40%
Draw Probability: 26.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 63.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Away
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 3.40 – High-value combo given historical goal-heavy meetings.
Union Santa Fe to Win @ 2.80 – The algorithm’s slight preference for the visitors offers decent value.
Expected Match Goals: 3.10
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 85%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 70%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 55%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.67 (67% chance of a first-half goal, 60% chance of 2+)
Best Bet 1: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 3.40
Best Bet 2: Union Santa Fe Win @ 2.80
Head-to-head clashes between these two have been historically high-scoring (3-3 in 2019, 2-3 in 2022). With both defences fragile but attacks productive, another end-to-end game is expected. A 1-2 away win fits the model perfectly.
Football Park highlights value-driven picks, not guarantees. Liga Profesional fixtures can be volatile – bet responsibly and stay within your means.
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