Argentine Liga Profesional
Home Win
Huracan 1 - 1 Central Cordoba De Santiago
Who will win?
1
Huracan
x
Draw
2
Central Cordoba De Santiago
Match Details:
October 22, 2025 | 23:30 GMT | Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó | Argentina Liga Profesional
Huracan welcome Central Cordoba De Santiago to Buenos Aires on Wednesday night as both sides look to gain momentum in the Argentina Liga Profesional. According to Football Park’s advanced algorithm, this fixture is projected to be tightly contested, with neither side showing a clear dominance in attacking data. However, the model still gives Huracan a narrow home edge, backed by a 35% win probability and an implied value in the 1.91 odds for a home victory.
Historically, this fixture has been defined by fine margins and low-scoring encounters, which aligns with the algorithm’s projection of 1.9 expected match goals. Key Betting Tip: Huracan to Win @ 1.91 odds — rated as Football Park’s highest-confidence selection for this fixture based on recent home data and head-to-head trends.
Football Park’s model analysis identifies this as one of the round’s most evenly matched fixtures in Argentina’s top flight. Both teams average similar attacking and defensive profiles, but Huracan’s home advantage provides the key statistical edge.
Home Win Probability: 35.0%
Draw Probability: 36.7%
Away Win Probability: 28.3%
Expected Match Goals: 1.9
Both Teams to Score Probability: 35.0%
Predicted Scoreline: Huracan 1-1 Central Cordoba
The Football Park algorithm suggests a low goal expectancy, with only a 58.8% probability of Over 1.5 Goals. Central Cordoba’s conservative tactical approach away from home tends to suppress overall match output, while Huracan have struggled to convert opportunities against deep-lying defences.
However, with a 78.8% chance of at least one goal, the data points to measured attacking phases rather than an open contest.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Huracan to Win @ 1.91
Huracan’s home advantage and favourable head-to-head trend make this the most statistically backed selection from Football Park’s model. Despite a relatively modest 35% win probability, the betting value lies in the balance between Huracan’s home record and Central Cordoba’s travel inefficiency — the visitors have taken minimal points from their last five away outings in similar fixtures.
Football Park’s algorithm also supports Huracan based on their higher expected home goals (0.9) compared to Central Cordoba’s 0.7 away expected output, suggesting marginal superiority that often translates to narrow victories.
Alternative Value Bet: Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.57
Given that both teams average fewer than one goal scored per match in recent competitive fixtures, the algorithm projects only 26.3% probability for Over 2.5 Goals — making the Under 2.5 Goals market statistically superior.
The probability of a Draw at Half-Time (58.3%) further supports this selection, indicating a tactical first half where both sides focus on defensive control. This trend has occurred in three of their last four head-to-head meetings, with 0-0 scorelines in the opening period featuring heavily.
Looking back at recent Huracan vs Central Cordoba matches, defensive structure and narrow margins have consistently shaped this fixture:
29 Oct 2024: Huracan 0-0 Central Cordoba
25 Oct 2024: Huracan 1-2 Central Cordoba
01 Sep 2022: Huracan 2-0 Central Cordoba
23 Nov 2019: Huracan 1-1 Central Cordoba
Across these four meetings, three finished with Under 2.5 Goals, and both teams scored in only two. The Football Park algorithm’s projection of 1.9 expected match goals and a 50% BTTS exclusion rate aligns closely with this historical trend.
Huracan’s home resilience, combined with their ability to limit shots on target, reinforces Football Park’s confidence in a controlled, low-scoring match scenario.
Football Park’s data model integrates over 200 predictive variables — including home and away scoring patterns, defensive pressure metrics, and goal conversion efficiency — to assess match outcomes.
For this Argentina Liga Profesional fixture:
Huracan’s home win probability (35%) is inflated by recent form metrics, including superior possession in defensive thirds and low expected goals conceded per game.
Central Cordoba’s away goal output remains one of the lowest among mid-tier Argentine sides, reinforcing the case for limited goal volume.
Both teams have underperformed relative to expected goals, which supports Football Park’s emphasis on conservative market selections such as Huracan Win and Under 2.5 Goals.
Football Park’s model also highlights a 70% probability of a draw at half-time, adding further confidence in the tactical balance of the opening 45 minutes.
For bettors seeking correlated data picks, similar low-scoring fixtures have been identified this week in Godoy Cruz vs Banfield and Sarmiento vs Independiente, both rated high on Football Park’s algorithmic “Under Goals” index.
All Football Park predictions are based on statistical modelling and probability analysis. While data-driven betting enhances decision-making accuracy, no outcome is ever guaranteed. Always wager responsibly, and only bet what you can afford to lose.
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