Independiente vs Rosario Central Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Independiente vs Rosario Central Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: November 16, 2025 | Estadio Marcelo Bielsa | Argentina Liga Profesional Clausura | 23:15 GMT

Champions Rosario Central travel to Avellaneda to face Independiente in the final match of the Liga Profesional Clausura stage, in a match that shouldn't make too much of an indent on the final standings. Rosario confirmed the title with their draw against San Lorenzo, whereas Independiente are mathematically unable to reach the top eight, but this should be an interesting encounter nonetheless.

Key Betting Tips: Rosario Central to Win at 4.50 odds on BoyleSports represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm. They've won the title and gone unbeaten this year, against an Independiente side that are currently sat in 12th, so the chances of an away win are good with incredible odds.

Independiente vs Rosario Central Predicted Lineups

Independiente Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey; Jonathan De Irastorza, Sebastian Valdez, Kevin Lomonaco, Leonardo Godoy; Rodrigo Fernandez, Felipe Loyola; Matias Abaldo, Lautaro Millán, Santiago Gabriel Montiel; Gabriel Avalos

Milton Valenzuela's return date is still unknown, while Iván Marcone and Walter Mazzantti will both remain out until the end of the month.

Rosario Central Predicted XI (4-1-3-2): Jorge Emanuel Broun; Agustin Sandez, Juan Komar, Facundo Mallo, Emanuel Coronel; Federico Navarro; Jaminton Campaz, Victor Malcorra, Gaspar Duarte; Alejo Veliz, Angel di Maria

Kevin Gutierrez and Franco Ibarra are expected back within the next month, but Rosario will remain without Carlos Quintana and Juan Giminez for the foreseeable future, as both have suffered long-term injuries.

Independiente vs Rosario Central Current League Standings

Despite a recent surge of good form, Independiente's poor start to the season has cost them a place in the top eight, as they trail by four points with just one game remaining. It's been a disappointing campaign for them, scoring only 13 goals in 15 games. The highest position they can manage now is 11th, depending on how they fare in this tie and how Atletico Tucuman get on in their game.

Rosario Central, however, have had a magnificent season. Eight wins and seven draws in 15 games has seen them lift the title with a game to spare, but they won't want to take their foot off the gas, as the achievement of an unbeaten campaign is one they are certainly hoping to reach. Rosario have the best defensive record in the league, as they are the only side to have conceded less than ten goals, with a magnificent seven let in.

Independiente vs Rosario Central Head-to-Head Timeline

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

This is a match-up that doesn't usually bring goals, but the games are hard-fought, dramatic and entertaining, so I can't complain too much. It's been well balanced in recent years, with both sides winning twice and taking one draw in their previous five encounters, so whichever way the pendulum swings, it doesn't swing far.

Historically, Independiente have just had the better of thiss fixture, taking six wins compared to Rosario's four, while five matches have ended level. When the 'Rey de Copas' are at home, as they are when they face each other this time, they have made easy work of Rosario, beating them four times and only losing once. They'll hope home advantage plays a role again this time, but I would expect an away win.

• May 3, 2025: Rosario Central 1-0 Independiente (Liga Profesional Apertura)
• August 17, 2024: Independiente 1-0 Rosario Central (Liga Profesional)
• February 14, 2024: Independiente 1-0 Rosario Central (Copa de la Liga Profesional)
• September 20, 2023: Rosario Central 1-1 Independiente (Copa de la Liga Profesional)
• April 13, 2023: Rosario Central 1-0 Independiente (Liga Profesional)

Independiente and Rosario Central Recent Matches Analysis

Independiente Last 5 Matches:

• Independiente 1-0 Deportive Riestra (A) – Liga Profesional
• Independiente 3-0 Atletico Tucuman (H) – Liga Profesional
• Independiente 3-0 Club Atletico Platense (H) – Liga Profesional
• Independiente 0-1 San Martin San Juan (A) – Liga Profesional
• Independiente 0-2 Lanus (H) – Liga Profesional

Independiente have finally found form lately - quite remarkably, they hadn't won a single game until their 3-0 victory against Club Atletico Platense, and since haven't been able to stop winning. It's been too little too late to qualify for the top eight, but three wins in a row, scoring seven and keeping three clean sheets is an incredible place to be in right now - they'll be hoping to keep such a rich vein of form going.

Rosario Central Last 5 Matches:

• Rosario Central 0-0 San Lorenzo (H) – Liga Profesional
• Rosario Central 3-1 Instituto (A) – Liga Profesional
• Rosario Central 1-0 Sarmiento (A) – Liga Profesional
• Rosario Central 1-0 Club Atletico Platense (H) – Liga Profesional
• Rosario Central 2-1 Velez Sarsfield (A) – Liga Profesional

13 points out of 15 must be doing a world of good for Rosario, who haven't lost a game since May. This is the team to beat, the most in form side in Argentina, and most definitely a force to be reckoned with. They look impossible to topple, and it'll take quite the effort from Independiente to do so, as they have run away with the title in a stellar campaign.

Independiente vs Rosario Central Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 40.00% confidence in Rosario Central to Win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Independiente vs Rosario Central Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Rosario Central to Win @ 4.50 - Undefeated in six months, the best defensive record in the league, and still reeling from confirming the title in their last game, Rosario winning this game looks like a safe bet at very good odds.

Key Players to Watch: Independiente vs Rosario Central

Gabriel Avalos (Independiente): The veteran striker has hit fine form in recent matches, netting twice and bagging an assist in his last three games. He'll look to rely on his experience and physicality to prevail, as well as the quality he brings in the air. Expect him to cause some problems for the Rosario defence.

Angel di Maria (Rosario Central): The Argentine needs no introduction, having wreaked havoc on defences in Ligue Un and across Europe. At 37-years old, he's continuing to prove a major attacking threat in Argentina, notching up a tally of seven goals and three assists, with some of the best general attacking stats in the continent. Rosario must be delighted at bringing him in this summer, especially considering they acquired him on a free transfer.

Independiente vs Rosario Central Match Facts

Referee: Sebastían Zunino

Stadium Information: Located in Avellaneda, the Estadio Libertadores de América has a capacity of 42,069, bringing in an average attendance of 37,753 last year.

Independiente vs Rosario Central: Final Prediction

Independiente 1-2 Rosario Central