Bolivia Primera Division


Home Win
Oriente Petrolero 2 - 1 Guabirá
Who will win?
1

Oriente Petrolero
x
Draw
2

Guabirá
The Bolivia Primera División continues on 3 November 2025, with Oriente Petrolero hosting Guabirá at the Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas in Santa Cruz. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 GMT, and Football Park’s advanced algorithm expects an open, high-scoring clash between two sides known for attacking football and defensive inconsistency.
As seen in our San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips model, Football Park’s data-driven system analyses over 200 key performance indicators. In this matchup, the algorithm gives Oriente Petrolero a 66.7% chance of victory, supported by strong home form and an impressive head-to-head record against Guabirá.
Our top-value selection identifies Oriente Petrolero to Win @ 1.75 and Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.80 as the standout betting angles — both offering data-backed value in what promises to be another action-packed fixture in Santa Cruz.
Competition: Bolivia Primera División
Date: 3 November 2025
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT
Venue: Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
While confirmed Oriente Petrolero vs Guabirá lineups will be released closer to matchday, Football Park’s predictive model highlights the expected tactical dynamics based on statistical trends and previous encounters.
Oriente Petrolero are expected to control possession and apply sustained attacking pressure. Their offensive metrics are impressive — with 2.20 expected goals per match and a 66.7% win probability — underlining their dominance at home.
Guabirá, by contrast, tend to rely on transitional play and set-pieces. Their 1.10 expected goals suggest they’ll find scoring opportunities, but their defensive fragility (conceding in 9 of their last 10 away games) remains a major concern.
The algorithm expects a strong start from the hosts, reflected in their 46.7% first-half win probability and a Half-Time/Full-Time prediction of Home/Home.
Football Park’s proprietary prediction model delivers a clear edge to the home side, supported by performance data and historical context:
Home Win Probability: 66.70%
Draw Probability: 20.00%
Away Win Probability: 13.30%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 63.30%
Expected Match Goals: 3.30
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
This statistical profile indicates a confident home win but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet — an outcome reinforced by Guabirá’s tendency to score in away fixtures despite losing.
The Oriente Petrolero vs Guabirá timeline reveals a dominant record for the hosts across recent seasons. Oriente Petrolero have consistently found success in this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings:
16 Jul 2025: Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Guabirá
16 Feb 2025: Oriente Petrolero 1-0 Guabirá
21 Jul 2024: Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Guabirá
27 Sep 2023: Oriente Petrolero 0-1 Guabirá
27 Jul 2022: Oriente Petrolero 4-1 Guabirá
20 Feb 2022: Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Guabirá
22 Oct 2021: Oriente Petrolero 2-0 Guabirá
Over this stretch, six of the last seven meetings in Santa Cruz produced Over 2.5 Goals, while both teams scored in four of those fixtures. Oriente Petrolero have scored two or more goals in five consecutive home matches against Guabirá, reinforcing the strength of the Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS market.
1. Oriente Petrolero to Win @ 1.75
Football Park’s data-driven model gives the hosts a commanding 66.7% probability of victory, aligning perfectly with historical and form-based indicators. Oriente Petrolero have won five of their last six home fixtures against Guabirá, often in dominant fashion.
The algorithm also supports the Half-Time/Full-Time Home/Home scenario, given their tendency to take early control at the Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas.
This selection carries strong expected value at 1.75 odds, offering a clear edge over the market’s implied probability.
2. Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 1.80
With 3.30 expected match goals and a 63.3% BTTS probability, this combined market provides compelling value. Oriente Petrolero’s attack-heavy style almost guarantees involvement in high-scoring games, while Guabirá’s offensive output — though inconsistent — remains capable of contributing.
Five of the last six head-to-heads between these sides in Santa Cruz have produced at least three goals, and the visitors have scored in four of those matches. This makes Over 2.5 & BTTS one of Football Park’s most confident algorithm-backed selections for this fixture.
Football Park’s algorithm incorporates over 200 key variables, including form momentum, home advantage, and team efficiency metrics. Here’s how the data aligns for this matchup:
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100.00%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 85.00%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70.00%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 50.00%
Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 73.00%
These trends reinforce a high likelihood of an attacking contest. Oriente Petrolero’s Expected Home Goals (2.20) suggests control of the tempo, while Guabirá’s Expected Away Goals (1.10) ensures potential for both sides to score.
The predicted 2-1 final scoreline fits this data profile perfectly — aligning with both historical results and goal probability models.
From a statistical betting perspective, Football Park identifies two primary markets with strong value indicators:
Oriente Petrolero to Win @ 1.75 – A high-probability selection backed by dominant head-to-head performance and superior expected goals data.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.80 – Supported by recent goal trends and both teams’ attacking styles.
These selections align with Football Park’s strategy of identifying bets that combine strong data signals with realistic market value.
Responsible Gambling Reminder: Always bet within your means. Football Park’s insights are designed to enhance informed decision-making — not guarantee outcomes.
Football Park’s analytical engine combines advanced data modeling with historical performance evaluation, assessing factors such as tactical structure, chance creation, and defensive transition speed.
Our predictive accuracy across markets like Ligue 2, Eredivisie, and Primera División Bolivia ensures bettors can trust our methodology to identify high-value opportunities.
Explore our latest algorithm-backed insights in the Football Park Predictions hub, featuring match previews and expert tips from across Europe and South America.
This Bolivia Primera División matchup is expected to be fast-paced, goal-heavy, and dominated by the hosts’ superior attacking balance.
Oriente Petrolero to Win @ 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.80
Predicted Score: Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Guabirá Predicted Outcome: Half-Time Home / Full-Time Home
Expect Oriente Petrolero’s home momentum and attacking quality to prove decisive in another entertaining fixture at the Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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