Home Win
Real Oruro 3 - 2 Guabirá
Who will win?
1
Real Oruro
x
Draw
2
Guabirá
Real Oruro welcome Guabirá in a high-stakes Bolivia Primera División clash on 26 September 2025 at 01:00 GMT. The game at Estadio Jesús Bermúdez promises goals and drama, with Football Park’s advanced algorithm tipping a wide-open encounter. Just as we showcased in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, this preview combines over 200 data points — from expected goals to historical head-to-heads — to deliver an expert betting guide.
The model highlights Real Oruro’s strong 50% chance of victory, underpinned by their 2.5 expected goals at home. However, Guabirá carry enough attacking threat to contribute to what should be a high-scoring game, with 4.2 expected total goals across 90 minutes. The top-rated selections are Real Oruro to Win @ 1.60 and Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.80, reflecting both the home side’s strength and the visitors’ attacking output.
Home Win Probability: 50.00%
Draw Probability: 20.00%
Away Win Probability: 30.00%
Correct Score Prediction: 3-2
Real Oruro to Win @ 1.60 – A strong 50% win chance, with Guabirá struggling defensively in recent away fixtures.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.80 – Supported by an 88% BTTS probability and 4.2 expected goals overall.
Goals Projection: Real Oruro (2.5) vs Guabirá (1.7).
Both Teams to Score Probability: 88.0% – one of the highest in this week’s Primera División fixtures.
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 80.0%, with over 3.5 landing in 66.7% of simulations.
First Half Outlook: 1.3 goals expected, with Real Oruro leading at the break in 60% of scenarios.
HT/FT Projection: Strongest outcome is Home/Home, reflecting Real Oruro’s dominance across both halves.
These sides have served up goals in recent years:
29 Oct 2024 – Real Oruro 3-2 Guabirá
01 May 2023 – Real Oruro 0-1 Guabirá
15 May 2022 – Real Oruro 1-0 Guabirá
31 Jan 2021 – Real Oruro 0-0 Guabirá
07 Sep 2019 – Real Oruro 0-2 Guabirá
24 Sep 2018 – Real Oruro 2-1 Guabirá
Overall, Real Oruro have held the upper hand at home, winning three of their last five encounters on their turf.
Home Win @ 1.60 – Favourites and algorithm-backed as the top selection.
Away Win @ 5.00 – Value price but undermined by just a 30% probability.
Draw @ 4.00 – Carries a 20% chance, secondary to a likely decisive result.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.53 – Outstanding value, given the near 90% projection.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 – High-likelihood market with strong supporting stats.
Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.20 – Riskier, but supported by a 66.7% chance of landing.
Real Oruro to Win @ 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.80
Both tips align with the algorithm’s highest-confidence projections, making them the most compelling options for bettors.
Date & Kick-off: 26 September 2025 | 01:00 GMT
Venue: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez, Oruro
Predicted Outcome: Real Oruro 3-2 Guabirá
Broadcast: Available on Bolivian domestic sports networks and selected international streaming platforms.
Football Park’s betting previews highlight value selections but are not guarantees. Always gamble responsibly and stay within your personal limits.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
Contact Sales