Botafogo vs Flamengo Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Botafogo vs Flamengo Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

On 15th October 2025, Botafogo will welcome Flamengo to Estádio Nilton Santos in a highly anticipated Brazil Serie A clash, with kick-off set for 23:30 GMT. Our team at Football Park has applied its advanced algorithm to this fixture, analysing over 200 data points including form, head-to-head history, player availability, and tactical matchups. According to our model, Flamengo enter as slight favourites with a 46.7% probability of victory, while Botafogo have a 40% chance to claim a home win. The algorithm also highlights a strong likelihood for goals at both ends, projecting a 1-2 scoreline in favour of Flamengo.

Football Park’s data-driven insights provide bettors with actionable predictions, helping identify value bets and key outcomes based on evidence rather than speculation. Our predictions incorporate expected goals, scoring probabilities, and historical patterns to give a clear picture of how the match may unfold.

Botafogo vs Flamengo Previous Meetings

Recent encounters suggest Flamengo have had the edge, although both sides have traded dominant performances:

• 02 Feb 2025: Botafogo 1-3 Flamengo
• 18 Aug 2024: Botafogo 4-1 Flamengo
• 03 Sep 2023: Botafogo 1-2 Flamengo
• 25 Feb 2023: Botafogo 0-1 Flamengo
• 28 Aug 2022: Botafogo 0-1 Flamengo
• 23 Feb 2022: Botafogo 1-3 Flamengo

These results show that Flamengo have consistently found ways to score against Botafogo, while the home side have also demonstrated the capability to produce decisive attacking performances, such as the 4-1 victory in 2024.

Botafogo vs Flamengo Predictions

Football Park’s algorithm predicts a competitive, high-scoring affair, with probabilities indicating:

Home Win: 40%

Draw: 13.3%

Away Win: 46.7%

Both Teams to Score: 63.3%

Expected Match Goals: 2.7

Expected First Half Goals: 1.4

The model suggests that the match is likely to see goals from both sides, with an early opening in the first half given the 80% probability of over 0.5 first-half goals. Flamengo are expected to leverage their attacking depth, while Botafogo’s home advantage and recent scoring history make them a threat at set-pieces and in open play.

Best Botafogo vs Flamengo Betting Tips

Based on our algorithmic analysis, Football Park identifies two top betting opportunities for this fixture:

Both Teams to Score @ 2.03 – With over 63% probability of goals at both ends, backing this market provides excellent value, reflecting the attacking tendencies of both squads.

Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.40 – The match is likely to feature multiple goals, with our model projecting 2–3 goals in total and an expected 1.4 goals in the first half.

These bets combine statistical probability with tactical insights, offering high-confidence options for bettors seeking value.

Botafogo vs Flamengo Match Facts

Referee: To be confirmed – Brazilian Serie A officials are selected based on experience and recent form.

Broadcast Details:

Brazil: Globo / Premiere

International: Selected regional broadcasters

Stadium: Estádio Nilton Santos provides a passionate home atmosphere, often influencing high-tempo matches. Its 46,000-seat capacity has witnessed some of Botafogo’s most memorable victories, and it remains a venue where the home side can exploit set-piece opportunities and counter-attacks.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football, delivering insights backed by data and professional analysis to help optimise betting strategies.