Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Palmeiras welcome Vasco da Gama to Allianz Parque on Wednesday, 1 October 2025 (23:00 GMT) in Brazil’s Serie A. The hosts are heavy favourites with a 53.3% win probability compared to Vasco’s 13.3%, though the model expects goals on both sides. With 2.8 expected match goals and a 2-1 correct score projection, Palmeiras look set to extend their dominance in this fixture.

Key Betting Tip: Both Teams to Score @ 2.50

Match Details

Date: 1 October 2025

Kick-Off: 23:00 GMT

Competition: Brazil Serie A

Venue: Allianz Parque, São Paulo – a modern 43,000-seater and Palmeiras’ fortress.

Referee: TBC

Broadcast Details

Brazil: SporTV / Premiere

International: Fanatiz, Bet365 streaming, ESPN Deportes (US)

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Predictions

Home Win Probability: 53.3%

Away Win Probability: 13.3%

Draw Probability: 33.3%

Correct Score Prediction: 2-1

Both Teams to Score Probability: 60.0%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50.0%

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home

Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets

Both Teams to Score @ 2.50 – Vasco rarely win here but have a solid chance of finding the net.

Palmeiras to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.60 – With Palmeiras averaging 1.7 xG at home, this is a strong value combo.

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama – Betting Insights

Expected Match Goals: 2.80

Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 90%

Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 80%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%

Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 40%

First Half Goals Projection: 1.53 (80% chance of at least one first-half goal)

Expert Betting Tips – Football Park

Best Bet 1: Both Teams to Score @ 2.50

Best Bet 2: Palmeiras to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.60

Palmeiras have dominated recent meetings (5 wins in the last 7 at home), but Vasco tend to make it competitive. A 2-1 scoreline aligns with the data, backing Palmeiras’ quality while recognising Vasco’s attacking potential.

Responsible Betting

At Football Park, our insights highlight value through predictive analytics, but nothing is guaranteed. Football in Brazil is famously unpredictable. Always bet responsibly and within your means.