Brazil Serie A


Home Win
Santos 2 - 1 Corinthians
Who will win?
1

Santos
x
Draw
2

Corinthians
Brazil is one of the globe's greatest footballing nations, and understandably, the home of some of the fiercest rivalries. Santos might not have another team to share their city with, but they’re happy to pick on their Paulistan neighbours up the road.
The Classico Alvinegro dates back to 1913 and is one of the most anticipated fixtures on the Brazilian sports calendar. With both sides neck and neck in the Paulista standings, this should be a thrilling 355th edition of the rivalry, full of goals and surprises.
Key Betting Tip: Santos to Win at 2.10 odds (Kwiff Bet) represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.
Santos Predicted XI: Brazao (GK), Mayke, Frias, Ivaldo, Lira; Menino, Arao, Rafael; Rollheiser, Barreal, Thaciano
Team News: Neymar is absent as he recovers from knee surgery. Former Porto man Tiquinho Soares is also sidelined with a calf injury.
Corinthians Predicted XI: Souza (GK), Bidu, Henrique, Silva, Matheuzinho; Raniele, Luiz, Carrillo; Bidon, Kayke, Alberto
Team News: Memphis Depay is recovering from a knee injury that has kept him out for the last month. Rodrigo Garro will be missed going forward as well.
Santos are currently 8th in the Paulista A1 - top-flight professional state football league in the Brazilian state of São Paulo, which is played ahead of the Serie A seasons - they have one win, one draw and one loss three games into the competition, meaning they have four points. The Alvinegro have scored three and conceded three, giving them an even goal difference.
Corinthians also have an even goal difference, having scored four and conceded four in their three Paulista A1 fixtures. They are ahead of their rivals on a goals scored basis, having lost one, drawn one, and won one too.
The Classico Alvinegro has been played 354 times in its history, and 207 times in the Paulista Championship. Corinthians have 140 wins, Santos have 112, and there have been 102 draws. Corinthians won three of the four meetings in 2025, and in general, are the stronger team in the modern day, as Santos’ small-city nature has gradually caught up to Pele’s ex-club.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Santos Last 5 Matches:
An extremely strong Neymar-led finish to the 2025 Serie A season, which saw Santos saved from relegation, has been followed up by an underwhelming start to the season. Failing to beat Serie C opposition, Guarani, last time out, makes matters even worse for Juan Vojvoda’s men.
Corinthians Last 5 Matches:
Like their opponents, late-season success in the shape of a Copa do Brasil title has quickly been brandished aside by a mediocre start to 2026. Corinthians are yet to overcome a fellow Serie A side, having been dominated by high-flying RB Bragantino a couple of weeks ago.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 60% confidence in a home win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Santos to Win @ 2.10 - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted a Santos win in this fixture. Their superior form, home advantage and head-to-head record justify confidence in this selection.
Alvaro Barreal (Santos): The Cincinnati loanee marked the second start of his second loan spell in Brazil with a goal last time out. The 25-year-old was on loan at Santos in 2025, too, scoring nine goals in all competitions.
Breno Bidon (Corinthians): The 2005-born talent already has over a century of caps for his boyhood club, despite only scoring two goals across his last two seasons. The midfielder has already scored once, three games into his third year of senior football; who's to say he won’t again this Thursday?
Broadcast Details: N/A to watch in the UK.
Stadium Information: Opened on October 12, 1916, Santos’ iconic Vila Belmiro is located at Rua Princesa Isabel, 77, in Santos, Brazil. The historic "shrine" currently holds 16,068 spectators within its tight urban footprint.
Referee: Yet to be announced.

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