Sao Paulo vs Gremio Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Sao Paulo vs Gremio Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Sao Paulo host Gremio in the early hours of Thursday in the Brazilian Serie A. Both sides are coming off the back of an inconsistent run, this will be a stern test for both. The away side have been in decent form and look poised to take bring a challenge. Sao Paulo are at home however, I can see goals from both sides.

Our advanced algorithm is predicting Sao Paulo To Win in this fixture, with odds @ 2.00, which is excellent value.

We also back an alternative tip on this fixture, offering an angle of Over 2.5 Goals, offering strong value odds @ 2.10, recent weeks as well as the attacking output of both sides makes this a great pick.

Match Details

Competition: Brazil Serie A

Date: 12 February 2026

Kick-off (GMT): 00:30

Venue: Estádio do Morumbi, Sao Paulo

Key Betting Tip: Sao Paulo To Win @ 2.00 offers strong value based on Football Park’s model.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio Predicted Lineups

Sao Paulo Predicted XI (5-3-2) Rafael, Maik, Alan Javier Franco, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Enzo Díaz, Damián Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Danielzinho, Gonzalo Tapia, Jonathan Calleri

Gremio Predicted XI (4-2-3-1) Weverton, João Pedro, Fabián Balbuena, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Erick Noriega, Arthur, Tetê, Miguel Ángel Monsalve, Cristian Pavón, Carlos Vinícius

Sao Paulo vs Gremio Head-to-Head Timeline

16 Oct 2025 // Grêmio 2-0 São Paulo

18 May 2025 // São Paulo 2-1 Grêmio

01 Dec 2024 // Grêmio 2-1 São Paulo

18 Jul 2024 // São Paulo 1-0 Grêmio

21 Oct 2023 // São Paulo 3-0 Grêmio

Sao Paulo last five matches

Santos 1-1 Sao Paulo – Brazil Serie A

Sao Paulo 2-0 Santos – Paulista

Sao Paulo 2-1 Flamengo – Brazil Serie A

Palmeiras 3-1 Sao Paulo – Paulista

Sao Paulo 2-3 Portuguesa – Paulista

Gremio last five matches

Gremio 5-3 Botafogo – Brazil Serie A

Gremio 1-1 Juventude – Gaucho

Fluminense 2-1 Gremio – Brazil Serie A

Internacional 4-2 Gremio – Gaucho

Guarany Bage 0-2 Gremio – Brazil Serie A

Gremio will be seeking to upset the odds and capitalize on any potential slips from Sao Paulo. Given their record in head-to-head matches and recent form, it's clear that Gremio has the capability to challenge their opponents. However, the odds and win probabilities indicate a more difficult task for the away team.

Both sides have been in decent form over the last five, with defensive issues from both, a Sao Paulo To Win is likely.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 60.00% confidence in Sao Paulo To Win @ 2.00 odds and 50.00% confidence in Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 odds. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Sao Paulo vs Gremio Betting Tips

Football Park's Best Bet: Sao Paulo To Win @ 2.00 - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted 2.00 in this fixture. Gremio will be seeking to upset the odds and capitalize on any potential slips from Sao Paulo. Given their record in head-to-head matches and recent form, it's clear that Gremio has the capability to challenge their opponents. However, the odds and win probabilities indicate a more difficult task for the away team.

Key Players to Watch: Sao Paulo vs Gremio

Jonathan Calleri (Sao Paulo) The Argentine striker has been São Paulo’s main goal threat so far, leading their scoring charts. He’ll be central to their attacking play and likely looking to make an impact early.

Carlos Vinícius (Gremio) A standout attacking threat for Grêmio, with a recent goalscoring run in 2026 that has included multiple strikes in games leading up to this fixture. Keeping an eye on him is a must.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio Match Facts

Referee: TBA

Stadium Information: Estádio do Morumbi is a modern multi-purpose stadium with a capacity of 72,039