Draw
Sport Recife 2 - 2 Vasco da Gama
Who will win?
1
Sport Recife
x
Draw
2
Vasco da Gama
We are now a good chunk into the 2025 Brazilian Serie A season, and here we bring you two strugglers in the division, who both currently average less than one point per match and two sides who will definitely be toward the bottom come the end of the season.
Here Sport Recife hosts Philippe Coutinho’s Vasco da Gama in a match that is a must-win for both teams.
Key Betting Tip: Vasco da Gama Double Chance at 1.48 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.
Recife Predicted XI: Gabriel; Kevyson, Rivera, Thyere, Alexandre; Ramon, Lucas, Romarinho; Pereira, Matheusinho, Lacerda.
Vasco Predicted XI: Léo; Piton, Freitas, Moura, Rodriguez; Jair, Barros; Moreira, Coutinho, Rayan; Vegetti.
Recife may like to restructure to a 4-3-3. A slightly more attacking system than they played against Palmeiras and this is a must-win match. Pablo seems to be the only logical exclusion, with Lacerda to potentially enter the fray although Lima may withdaw through injury, which could make an opening for Romarinho.
As for Vasco da Gama, they may make just the one change from the side that drew to Botafogo – Rodriguez could return at right-back for Henrique.
As for injuries, both sides have a number of players out, with the hosts missing Hereda, Carius, Lima, and Oliveira. Meanwhile, Vasco will ravel withou Adson, Tche, and Franca.
After 20 games each in the league, Recife find themselves staring down the barrel of relegation, winning just once by the halfway point, and have just 10 points overall. Meanwhile Vasco reside just above the drop zone. They have won five and lost 11, however, despite this remain with a healthy -2 goal difference all things considered.
Through the last 10 meetings between these sides in the last decade, it is Vasco da Gama who have convincingly ran out winners. Their seven to Recife’s one in this matchup shows how one-sided it can be. As for the last five, Vasco have won four, with the other ending in a draw.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Their last meeting fell in April, with Vasco da Gama running out comfortable 3-1 winners. Vegetti’s brace had the hosts up 2-0 at the break before an own goal from Moura gave Sport Recife hope. However, Ryan’s 83rd minute strike sealed Vasco’s second league win of the season.
Recife Last 5 Matches:
Recife’s form seems to be on the rise slightly, as they have lost to only Botafogo and Palmeiras in their last seven matches.
Vasco Last 5 Matches:
Aside from their thumping 6-0 win over Santos, Vasco da Gama have only won one other time in their last 13 games.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in Vasco da Gama to either win or draw. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Vasco da Gama Double Chance @ 1.48 - Recent form suggests confidence in Vasco to not lose. Although Vasco have struggled for form, they are much better side than Sport Recife and should comfortably be able to not lose the game. It is a must-win game for them, and the head-to-head and current season form is on their side.
Derik Lacerda (Recife): Before his absence for the 3-0 loss to Palmeiras, Lacerda scored both of his league goals in the four previous matches, so is in great form at the right time for Recife, they just need to hope it’s not too late.
Pablo Vegetti (Vasco): The veteran forward is in excellent form this campaign. The 36-year-old has aged like fine wine with his form only getting better with age. His huge return of 23 goals this season has been pivotal to their progress in the cups as well as keeping them with a chance to survive in the league.
Referee: TBC
Stadium Information: Located in Recife, the modern Estádio Adelmar da Costa can hold up to 35,000 spectators and is expected to be roaring in Monday’s relegation clash.
Sport Recife 2-2 Vasco da Gama
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