Paysandu vs Amazonas Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Paysandu vs Amazonas Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Paysandu face Amazonas in a highly anticipated Brazil Serie B matchup on 14 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 23:00 GMT at Estádio da Curuzu. This fixture features two sides with contrasting styles — Paysandu relying on structured possession play at home, while Amazonas bring an aggressive, transition-heavy approach that’s paid dividends in recent meetings.

As part of Football Park’s data-led coverage — similar to our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips model — this preview draws from over 200 metrics across form trends, scoring probability, and head-to-head performance. The algorithm points strongly toward Amazonas extending their dominant run over Paysandu, powered by an edge in expected goals and away performance consistency.

Key Betting Tip: Amazonas to Win @ 2.62 — backed by a 60% algorithm confidence rating, this represents a standout value selection among this week’s Serie B fixtures.

Match Details

• Competition: Brazil Serie B
• Date: 14 November 2025
• Kick-off: 23:00 GMT
• Venue: Estádio da Curuzu, Belém

Paysandu vs Amazonas Predictions

Football Park’s predictive model gives Amazonas a commanding 60.0% chance of victory, compared to 26.7% for Paysandu, reflecting their superior recent form and tactical efficiency. With an expected total of 2.30 goals, this contest is forecasted to deliver attacking football and likely scoring from both sides.

Model Breakdown:

• Home Win Probability: 26.70%
• Draw Probability: 13.30%
• Away Win Probability: 60.00%
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 75.00%
• Expected Match Goals: 2.30
• Most Likely Scoreline: 1-2
• Half-Time/Full-Time: Away/Away

The data underlines Amazonas’ clear superiority in goal creation, averaging 1.3 expected goals per match, while Paysandu have struggled to sustain attacking pressure at home. Football Park’s model anticipates Amazonas to dictate play through their quick transitional bursts, exploiting the spaces left by Paysandu’s high defensive line.

Paysandu vs Amazonas Timeline

The Paysandu vs Amazonas timeline tells the story of a fixture increasingly dominated by the visitors. Amazonas have won both of their last meetings, showcasing tactical flexibility and efficient finishing against a defensively open Paysandu side.

Previous Meetings:

• 06 Sep 2024: Paysandu 0-1 Amazonas
• 01 Oct 2023: Paysandu 1-2 Amazonas

Across those two encounters, Amazonas have displayed impressive control, conceding just once while scoring three times. Their quick transitions and strong set-piece threat have proven particularly effective against Paysandu’s deep-block defending, and the model suggests that dynamic will likely repeat in this matchup.

Best Paysandu vs Amazonas Betting Tips

Football Park’s algorithm identifies two standout betting opportunities backed by high-confidence percentages and value odds.

1. Amazonas to Win @ 2.62

The model gives Amazonas a 60% chance of victory, making this one of the strongest away win predictions across the Serie B schedule. Amazonas’ efficiency in front of goal and defensive compactness under pressure make them the data-driven pick.

Supporting Data:

• Amazonas victory probability: 60%
• Most likely result: 1-2
• Half-Time/Full-Time outcome: Away/Away
• Paysandu home win chance: Only 26.7%

Amazonas’ recent away record underscores their strength in high-pressure scenarios, with a 75% success rate in matches where they score first. Football Park’s model also highlights their tendency to convert in the opening 45 minutes, with a 43% probability of leading at half-time.

Why It’s Value: Odds of 2.62 offer an implied probability of 38%, significantly below Football Park’s 60% projection — providing an exceptional +22% data edge for bettors seeking long-term value.

2. Both Teams to Score @ 1.83

With a 75% likelihood of both sides scoring, this market stands out as another high-probability selection. Both Paysandu and Amazonas rank among the most consistent BTTS performers in Serie B, and the data suggests another open contest.

Statistical Justification:

• BTTS Probability: 75.00%
• Expected Match Goals: 2.30
• Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 80.00%
• Over 1.5 Match Goals: 67.50%

Paysandu’s strong home support often boosts their attack, but their defensive transitions remain weak — a pattern Amazonas have capitalized on in their last two meetings. The model aligns with a 2-1 away win projection, perfectly fitting both BTTS and away win markets.

Why It’s Value: At odds of 1.83, this bet carries an implied probability of just 54%, giving a +21% edge against Football Park’s 75% projection — one of the week’s strongest statistical overlays.

Paysandu vs Amazonas Lineups Insight

While confirmed Paysandu vs Amazonas lineups will be released closer to matchday, Football Park’s algorithmic simulations consider tactical trends and form profiles to project match flow.

Paysandu: Typically deploy a 4-2-3-1 system built around central possession and wide overlaps. Their key issue remains defensive compactness in transitions, especially against pacey wingers.

Amazonas: Often line up in a 4-3-3, pressing aggressively and attacking directly through wide spaces. Their forward trio’s movement has consistently dismantled rigid backlines, particularly away from home.

This tactical matchup supports Football Park’s projection of Amazonas controlling the midfield tempo and generating higher-quality chances, especially in open-play transitions.

Paysandu vs Amazonas Matches – Tactical & Betting Analysis

Recent Paysandu vs Amazonas matches have leaned towards attacking football, and this fixture should follow suit. Football Park’s data predicts over 2.5 goals in 52.5% of simulations, while BTTS appears in three of every four models run.

In the last two meetings:

• Amazonas Wins: 2
• Paysandu Wins: 0
• Average Goals per Match: 2.0
• BTTS Occurred: 50%

Given both teams’ current scoring profiles, Football Park’s forecast for a 2-1 Amazonas victory aligns perfectly with trend data. Paysandu’s home performances have become increasingly erratic, while Amazonas maintain one of the highest conversion rates in Serie B when leading at half-time.

Betting Summary:

• Top Tip: Amazonas to Win @ 2.62
• Alternative Value Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.83
• Predicted Goals: 2.30
• Correct Score Prediction: 1-2

Match Facts

• Referee: Assigned by CBF (TBA)
• Broadcast: Available via Premiere FC, GloboPlay (Brazil)
• Venue: Estádio da Curuzu, Belém

Estádio da Curuzu, Paysandu’s historic home ground, presents a challenging climate and pitch condition that typically favours energetic, counter-attacking sides. Amazonas’ style — emphasizing pace, direct play, and vertical transitions — is likely to thrive under these circumstances.

Responsible Betting Message

Football Park’s betting models are data-driven, designed to provide statistically backed predictions rather than guaranteed outcomes. Variance is inherent to football results — always bet responsibly and within your means.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our expert models also cover major South American leagues, including Brazil Serie A and Serie B, helping bettors identify genuine value across global markets.

Stay tuned for the latest Paysandu vs Amazonas predictions, data-driven previews, and expert betting strategies exclusively on Football Park.