BTTS Yes
Paysandu 1 - 2 Remo
Who will win?
1
Paysandu
x
Draw
2
Remo
Match Details: October 14, 2025 | Estádio da Curuzu, Belém | Brazil Serie B | Kick-off: 23:30 GMT
One of Brazil’s fiercest local rivalries reignites as Paysandu host Remo in a crucial Serie B encounter at the Estádio da Curuzu. According to Football Park’s predictive model, which processes over 200 statistical variables including historical performance, form trends, and goal probabilities, this fixture is expected to be tight and tactical.
Our algorithm forecasts a 46.7% probability of a draw, but with both sides finding the net at a 60% probability, the Both Teams to Score market @ 2.10 stands out as the key betting opportunity. A balanced encounter with limited goals is also predicted, with an expected match total of just 1.8 goals.
Football Park’s predictive analytics combine team-level data, goal probability models, and trend analysis to deliver reliable betting insights. In this regional derby, the numbers point to a compact contest where defensive organisation will dominate, but both sides still possess enough attacking quality to find the net.
Both Teams to Score – 60% Confidence | Odds: 2.10 The model shows strong statistical support for both sides finding the net. Despite a modest expected goal total (1.8), the 60% BTTS probability suggests that while the game may lack volume, it won’t lack cutting-edge moments. Both teams have scored in four of their last six competitive meetings, including their most recent clash in May, which finished 3-2 to Remo. The historical trend, coupled with consistent attacking metrics from both sides, underpins this as Football Park’s most valuable selection.
Draw – 46.7% Confidence | Odds: 3.00 With Paysandu’s home win probability at just 13.3% and Remo’s at 40%, the data identifies equilibrium as the dominant narrative. Seven of the last ten “Clássico Rei da Amazônia” fixtures have finished level or been decided by a single goal. Football Park’s Half-Time/Full-Time projection of Draw/Draw (also 46.7%) reinforces the likelihood of a balanced, low-tempo match where neither side fully commits to risk.
The model’s correct score projection of 1-2 supports the BTTS selection while leaving room for a narrow Remo edge, though the margin for either side remains statistically slim.
Few rivalries in Brazilian football match the intensity of Paysandu vs Remo, and the data suggests another classic, tightly fought derby is in store. Paysandu enter the contest with a 13.3% chance of victory, struggling to convert chances at home, where they average just 0.7 goals per game according to Football Park’s metrics.
Remo, meanwhile, hold a stronger 40% win probability, driven by superior attacking metrics (1.1 expected goals). Their structured approach in away fixtures has yielded consistent defensive returns, making them difficult to break down even against familiar opposition.
The model predicts an Expected First Half Goals total of 0.73, reflecting a cautious opening 45 minutes. The Half-Time projection (66.7% Draw) aligns with historical patterns — seven of the last ten derbies have reached the interval level. However, second-half transitions and set pieces could open the game, boosting the Both Teams to Score probability.
With Over 0.5 First Half Goals at 47% and Over 1.5 First Half Goals at just 13%, bettors can anticipate a slow-burning tactical affair likely to peak after halftime.
This is one of Brazil’s longest-running rivalries, and its recent history has been defined by narrow scorelines and tight defensive battles — though both sides have consistently found ways to get on the scoresheet.
May 8, 2025: Paysandu 2-3 Remo
April 14, 2024: Paysandu 1-1 Remo
April 4, 2024: Paysandu 0-0 Remo
February 4, 2024: Paysandu 0-0 Remo
July 17, 2023: Paysandu 1-0 Remo
March 26, 2023: Paysandu 0-1 Remo
April 6, 2022: Paysandu 3-1 Remo
February 20, 2022: Paysandu 1-1 Remo
December 1, 2021: Paysandu 2-2 Remo
April 4, 2021: Paysandu 2-4 Remo
Across these ten matches, Both Teams to Score has landed in six (60%), perfectly matching the algorithm’s confidence rate for this market. While Remo have held a slight upper hand, winning four of those contests, most matches have been decided by a single goal or ended level — further reinforcing the value in the Draw market.
Home Win Probability: 13.3%
Draw Probability: 46.7%
Away Win Probability: 40.0%
Both Teams to Score: 60.0%
Expected Match Goals: 1.8
Most Likely Correct Score: 1-2
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw / Draw
Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 47%
Both Teams to Score @ 2.10 – Supported by a 60% model probability, recent head-to-head patterns, and consistent attacking trends.
Draw @ 3.00 – Reinforced by a 46.7% algorithmic projection and historical balance between these two long-standing rivals.
These selections offer contrasting levels of risk but align perfectly with Football Park’s data-based betting framework for statistically tight, balanced matchups.
The appointed referee typically maintains a balanced card distribution and a moderate foul average — conducive to open play but with enough control to manage derby intensity. This consistency often benefits structured teams like Remo, who excel in controlled, mid-tempo environments.
Weather forecasts for Belém suggest humid evening conditions with light wind and temperatures around 28°C. The slower pitch conditions expected at Estádio da Curuzu may limit tempo, supporting the data model’s projection of under two total goals.
At Football Park, we promote responsible gambling across all our betting insights. Our algorithmic models are designed to identify value probabilities, not guarantees. Always bet within your means and view our data-driven projections as part of a disciplined, long-term betting strategy.
For improved consistency, combine Football Park’s algorithmic predictions with personal bankroll management and line comparison across multiple bookmakers to secure optimal odds.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our expert analysts and proprietary models deliver detailed, data-backed tips across hundreds of fixtures weekly, helping bettors make smarter, evidence-based decisions.
Both Teams to Score @ 2.10
Draw @ 3.00
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