Vila Nova vs Amazonas Predictions & Betting Tips

Vila Nova vs Amazonas Predictions & Betting Tips

A crucial Serie B encounter takes place on October 11, 2025, as Vila Nova host Amazonas FC at the Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Kick-off is scheduled for 22:00 GMT, with both teams seeking momentum in the latter stages of the Brazilian second tier.

Football Park’s predictive algorithm gives Vila Nova a strong edge in this fixture based on historical dominance and recent home form. The data indicates a high probability of a home victory and a relatively low-scoring contest.

Key Betting Tip: Vila Nova to win @ 1.82 represents excellent value based on Football Park’s algorithmic prediction model.

Vila Nova vs Amazonas Predictions

Football Park’s advanced predictive engine — analysing over 200 variables including attacking metrics, defensive solidity, and game-state probability — suggests Vila Nova hold a clear upper hand at home. Their efficient transition play and defensive compactness are expected to make the difference.

Predicted Outcome Breakdown:

Home Win Probability: 60.00%

Draw Probability: 33.30%

Away Win Probability: 6.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.70%

Expected Match Goals: 2.10

Predicted Correct Score: 2-0 Vila Nova

Vila Nova’s data trends highlight strong consistency when hosting teams in the lower half of the table. Meanwhile, Amazonas have struggled to convert chances away from home, averaging under one goal per game on the road this season.

Best Vila Nova vs Amazonas Betting Tips

Football Park’s betting model prioritises selections with the highest algorithmic confidence percentages. Here are our two top-rated value bets for this matchup:

1. Vila Nova to Win @ 1.82

With a 60% win probability, this selection aligns closely with Football Park’s highest-rated model output. Vila Nova’s home advantage, disciplined defensive structure, and head-to-head dominance (including a 1-0 win in October 2024) reinforce confidence in this outcome.

At odds of 1.83, the implied probability (≈54%) underestimates their winning chances by six percentage points — a notable margin of value for bettors seeking reliable, data-backed picks.

2. Both Teams to Score @ 2.25

Despite Vila Nova’s defensive strength, the model projects a 66.7% BTTS probability, making this market a strong complementary play. Amazonas tend to commit numbers forward late in matches, often converting in the final 20 minutes — a trend reflected in the algorithm’s 13% “Both Halves BTTS” metric.

Vila Nova vs Amazonas Timeline

Football Park’s timeline prediction provides an analytical view of how the game may progress, highlighting when goals are most likely to occur:

• 0’–30’: A cautious opening expected, with a 47% chance of at least one first-half goal.
• 30’–60’: Vila Nova’s most productive period, boasting a 33.3% probability of leading at halftime and a 60% likelihood of scoring first.
• 60’–90’: The model predicts Amazonas will increase attacking intensity, though Vila Nova’s defensive metrics indicate they are likely to hold firm for a 2-0 or 2-1 result.

The Half Time/Full Time: Draw/Home trend (66.7% projection) strengthens the view that Vila Nova may need patience to break down a resilient Amazonas side.

Vila Nova vs Amazonas Matches

The two teams have limited head-to-head history, but the data points to Vila Nova’s superiority in tactical execution:

• 23 Oct 2024: Vila Nova 1-0 Amazonas

In that encounter, Vila Nova controlled possession and created 2.3x more goal-scoring opportunities. Their defensive resilience in the closing stages proved decisive — a dynamic Football Park’s model anticipates repeating here.

Vila Nova vs Amazonas Predictions Summary

Football Park’s data model identifies Vila Nova as clear favourites, supported by both historical and performance-based metrics. Their home consistency, coupled with Amazonas’ limited away threat, makes this a prime fixture for strategic betting.

Predicted Score: Vila Nova 2-0 Amazonas

Football Park’s Top Two Bets:

Vila Nova to Win @ 1.82

Both Teams to Score @ 2.25

These two selections align with the highest-confidence probabilities derived from our model’s data simulations.

Match Facts

Competition: Brazilian Serie B Date: October 11, 2025 Kick-off: 22:00 GMT Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia Referee: To be confirmed

Broadcast Details:

Brazil: Premiere FC

International: Fanatiz (select territories)

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