Cardiff City vs Newport County Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Cardiff City vs Newport County Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Cardiff host Newport County at the Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday, 7 October 2025 (19:45 GMT) in what should be a one-sided affair on paper. Championship-level Cardiff enter as heavy favourites, while Newport — from the lower tier — will aim to frustrate and hit on the counter.

Key Betting Tip: Cardiff City Win @ 1.30

Match Details

Date: 7 October 2025

Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT

Competition: England EFL Trophy (Group Stage)

Venue: Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Referee: TBC

Broadcast Details

UK: iFollow / Club streaming

International: Not televised

Cardiff vs Newport County Predictions

Home Win Probability: 73.3%

Away Win Probability: 20.0%

Draw Probability: 6.7%

Correct Score Prediction: 3-0

Both Teams to Score Probability: 53.3%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55.0%

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home

Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets

Cardiff City to Win @ 1.30 – Back the superior side with home advantage. Cardiff’s top-flight squad depth should dominate.

Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.57 – With Cardiff expected to score at least twice, overs look well priced.

Cardiff vs Newport County – Betting Insights

Expected Match Goals: 2.90

Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%

Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 90%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%

Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 35%

First Half Goals Projection: 0.87 (53% chance of at least one first-half goal)

Expert Betting Tips – Football Park

Best Bet 1: Cardiff City Win @ 1.30

Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.57

Cardiff’s expected goals (xG) of 2.10 versus Newport’s 0.80 underline the gulf in quality. Cardiff are also unbeaten in their last 5 home EFL Trophy ties, scoring 2+ goals in all. Expect dominance from the hosts and a likely clean sheet.

Head-to-Head – Last Meetings

12 Jul 2022 – Cardiff City 2-0 Newport County

31 Jul 2021 – Cardiff City 2-0 Newport County

Goals trend: Cardiff have won both recent meetings by 2-goal margins, without conceding.

Match Insights

Cardiff Expected Goals (xG): 2.10

Newport Expected Goals (xG): 0.80

BTTS Probability: 53.3%

Half-Time Draw Probability: 53.3%

Responsible Betting

Football Park provides model-based analysis and data. EFL Trophy matches can feature rotations, so always bet sensibly and within your limits.