Away Win
Cheltenham 1 - 2 Bristol Rovers
Who will win?
1
Cheltenham
x
Draw
2
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham face Bristol Rovers at The Completely-Suzuki Stadium on Tuesday, 7 October 2025 (19:00 GMT) in the EFL Trophy. With Rovers fielding a stronger attacking lineup and Cheltenham’s inconsistent defence, this looks like an away win opportunity.
Date: 7 October 2025
Kick-Off: 19:00 GMT
Competition: England EFL Trophy
Venue: The Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham (7,000 capacity)
Referee: TBC
UK: iFollow / Club stream
International: Not televised
Home Win Probability: 26.7%
Away Win Probability: 53.3%
Draw Probability: 20.0%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 53.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Away/Away
Bristol Rovers Win @ 2.15 – Back the Gas to edge the match with superior finishing and forward momentum.
Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.22 – A reliable low-odds pick backed by 70% probability and recent H2H trends.
Expected Match Goals: 2.50
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 95%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 70%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 20%
First Half Goals Projection: 0.87 (67% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Bristol Rovers Win @ 2.15
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.62
Rovers have scored 3+ goals in two of their last three trips to Cheltenham, and their front line looks too sharp for a home defence averaging over 1.6 goals conceded per match. Expect a 2-1 or 3-1 away victory.
13 Apr 2024 – Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers
15 Oct 2022 – Cheltenham 1-4 Bristol Rovers
26 Nov 2013 – Cheltenham 0-0 Bristol Rovers
05 Feb 2013 – Cheltenham 1-1 Bristol Rovers
21 Jan 2012 – Cheltenham 0-2 Bristol Rovers
Goals trend: Rovers have scored 10 goals in their last 3 away trips to Cheltenham.
BTTS chance: 53.3%
Rovers expected goals: 1.50
Cheltenham home scoring rate: 1.0 xG average
Half-Time Lead Probability (Bristol Rovers): 46.7%
Football Park models are data-based but not infallible. Form and rotation often impact EFL Trophy outcomes — wager modestly and always bet responsibly.
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