BTTS Yes
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Burton Albion
Who will win?
1
Chesterfield
x
Draw
2
Burton Albion
Chesterfield take on Burton Albion at the SMH Group Stadium on Tuesday, 7 October 2025 (19:00 GMT) in the EFL Trophy. Both sides are evenly matched, but Burton’s higher-level experience gives them an edge — reflected in their 30% win probability and strong 71.7% BTTS likelihood.
Date: 7 October 2025
Kick-Off: 19:00 GMT
Competition: England EFL Trophy
Venue: SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield (10,400 capacity)
Referee: TBC
UK: iFollow / club streaming platforms
International: Not televised
Home Win Probability: 28.3%
Away Win Probability: 30.0%
Draw Probability: 41.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 71.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 47.5%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw
Burton Albion Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.73 – Burton’s League One pedigree and experience should see them avoid defeat.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.62 – With over 70% BTTS probability, both sides finding the net looks highly likely.
Expected Match Goals: 2.70
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 95%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 47.5%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 36.3%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.32 (87% chance of a first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Burton Albion Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.73
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.62
Burton’s superior squad depth and tactical experience make them the safer pick, but Chesterfield’s attacking output at home suggests goals. Expect a 1-1 draw or a narrow 1-2 Burton win in a lively EFL Trophy encounter.
08 Jul 2025 – Chesterfield 5-0 Burton Albion (Friendly)
26 Sep 2015 – Chesterfield 1-2 Burton Albion
19 Oct 2013 – Chesterfield 0-2 Burton Albion
15 Dec 2012 – Chesterfield 1-1 Burton Albion
Burton have dominated recent competitive meetings despite the pre-season blip earlier this year.
At Football Park, we combine advanced analytics and form metrics to identify value bets — but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly and stay within your means.
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